Football · England Northern League Division One · 13/10, 20:45

Prediction: Bedworth Utd vs Carlton Town

Team pages: Bedworth Utd · Carlton Town

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Bedworth Utd1.34
Carlton Town1.3
1X2
37% 27% 36%
Bedworth Utd Draw Carlton Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Bedworth Utd 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DLWWLWLDWL
Carlton Town 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLDDLLWD
Head-to-head
Bedworth Utd 0–1–0 Carlton Town (1 last)
  • Carlton Town1-1Bedworth Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bedworth Utd 1493 · Carlton Town 1476
Bedworth UtdDrawCarlton Town
Our model36%29%35%
Market38%26%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Bedworth UtdCarlton Town
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.81.2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.20.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)11/78/11%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.42.6 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.14.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bedworth Utd 0–1–0 Carlton Town

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/10/21
England FA Trophy
Carlton Town1-1Bedworth Utd

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBedworth UtdCarlton Town
Boldmere St Michaels 0-1 L 0-5 L
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0-0 D 3-2 W
Corby 1-2 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Carlton Town (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bedworth Utd

DLWWLWLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/10 Boldmere St Michaels
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-1 94 L
29/09 Grantham
England Northern League Division One
0-1 2-1 410 W
22/09 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 32 D
09/09 Corby
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-2 65 L
31/08 Coventry United
England Northern League Division One
0-0 2-0 19 W
18/08 Rugby Borough
England Northern League Division One
– 1-2 –– L
10/08 Coleshill Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-0 33 W
28/03 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-0 54 W
28/02 Wellingborough Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-2 77 L
14/02 Coleshill Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 26 D

Carlton Town

WWWLDDLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/09 Corby
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 133 D
15/09 Long Eaton Utd
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-2 96 W
31/08 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
0-2 0-4 18 L
11/08 Boldmere St Michaels
England Northern League Division One
0-3 0-5 75 L
28/04 Racing Club Warwick
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 78 D
18/04 Sutton Coldfield
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-1 74 D
24/03 Anstey Nomads
England Northern League Division One
0-4 0-6 64 L
03/03 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-0 52 W
20/01 Long Eaton Utd
England Northern League Division One
1-0 4-1 45 W
04/11 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-2 43 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bedworth Utd vs Carlton Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bedworth Utd win (37%). Probabilities: Bedworth Utd 37%, draw 27%, Carlton Town 36%.

How many goals are expected in Bedworth Utd vs Carlton Town?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Bedworth Utd 1.34 · Carlton Town 1.3), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bedworth Utd vs Carlton Town?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.