Prediction: Matlock Town vs Heaton Stannington

Team pages: Matlock Town · Heaton Stannington

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Matlock Town1.66
Heaton Stannington1.5
1X2
41% 25% 34%
Matlock Town Draw Heaton Stannington
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Matlock Town 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWWWLLLDWL
Heaton Stannington 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LDWLWWDLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Matlock Town 1503 · Heaton Stannington 1482
Matlock TownDrawHeaton Stannington
Our model40%26%34%
Market41%25%34%
Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Matlock TownHeaton Stannington
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 1.61.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.60.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/44/22%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.61.6 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.43 / 0.1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMatlock TownHeaton Stannington
Bradford P A 0-1 L 2-1 W
North Ferriby 3-0 W 0-1 L
Ossett United 0-1 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Heaton Stannington (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Matlock Town

WWWWLLLDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/09 Bradford P A
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-1 36 L
15/09 North Ferriby
England Northern League Division One
2-0 3-0 33 W
05/09 Silsden
England Northern League Division One
0-1 2-2 94 D
18/08 Ossett United
England Northern League Division One
– 0-1 –– L
28/04 Bradford P A
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-2 45 L
25/03 Redcar Athletic
England Northern League Division One
0-0 2-4 21 L
03/03 Newton Aycliffe
England Northern League Division One
4-1 7-2 43 W
31/01 Hallam
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-1 59 W
20/01 Bridlington Town
England Northern League Division One
0-1 3-2 66 W
17/01 Brighouse Town
England Northern League Division One
1-1 3-1 55 W

Heaton Stannington

LDWLWWDLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Grimsby Borough
England Northern League Division One
2-0 2-0 84 W
22/09 West Auckland
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-3 03 L
15/09 Dunston UTS
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-1 14 L
11/08 Guisborough Town
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-1 34 D
08/08 Stocksbridge PS
England Northern League Division One
0-0 2-0 70 W
10/04 Ossett United
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-1 37 W
04/04 North Ferriby
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-1 23 L
18/03 Bradford P A
England Northern League Division One
2-1 2-1 03 W
25/02 Blyth Spartans
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-1 21 D
07/02 Bishop Auckland
England Northern League Division One
0-2 0-2 52 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Matlock Town vs Heaton Stannington?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Matlock Town win (41%). Probabilities: Matlock Town 41%, draw 25%, Heaton Stannington 34%.

How many goals are expected in Matlock Town vs Heaton Stannington?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Matlock Town 1.66 · Heaton Stannington 1.5), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Matlock Town vs Heaton Stannington?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.