Football · England Northern League Division One · 06/10, 20:45
Prediction: Boldmere St Michaels vs Bedworth Utd
Team pages: Boldmere St Michaels · Bedworth Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Boldmere St Michaels1.44
Bedworth Utd1.08
1X2
Boldmere St Michaels
Draw
Bedworth Utd
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Boldmere St Michaels
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Bedworth Utd
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boldmere St Michaels
2–2
Bedworth Utd
(4 last)
- Boldmere St Michaels1-3Bedworth Utd
- Bedworth Utd2-3Boldmere St Michaels
- Bedworth Utd1-2Boldmere St Michaels
- Boldmere St Michaels0-3Bedworth Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boldmere St Michaels 1487 · Bedworth Utd 1511
| Boldmere St Michaels | Draw | Bedworth Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 29% | 27% |
| Market | 46% | 25% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boldmere St Michaels | Bedworth Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 11/78/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | 1.7 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.4 | 5.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boldmere St Michaels 2–0–2 Bedworth Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/26 England FA Trophy | Boldmere St Michaels | 1-3 | Bedworth Utd |
| 23/09/25 England Northern League Division One | Bedworth Utd | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Boldmere St Michaels |
| 08/04/23 England Northern League Division One | Bedworth Utd | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Boldmere St Michaels |
| 13/09/14 England FA Cup Qualification | Boldmere St Michaels | 0-3 | Bedworth Utd |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Boldmere St Michaels | Bedworth Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry United | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Corby | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| AFC Rushden & Diamonds | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boldmere St Michaels
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Coventry United England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/08 | Barwell England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 11/08 | Carlton Town England Northern League Division One |
3-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | Belper Town England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Mickleover Sports England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 28/02 | Racing Club Warwick England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 04/02 | Corby England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 01/11 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/10 | Long Eaton Utd England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 07/10 | Lichfield City England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Bedworth Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Grantham England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 22/09 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 09/09 | Corby England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/08 | Coventry United England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 18/08 | Rugby Borough England Northern League Division One |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/08 | Coleshill Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 28/02 | Wellingborough Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 14/02 | Coleshill Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 10/02 | Basford Utd England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boldmere St Michaels vs Bedworth Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boldmere St Michaels win (45%). Probabilities: Boldmere St Michaels 45%, draw 27%, Bedworth Utd 28%.
How many goals are expected in Boldmere St Michaels vs Bedworth Utd?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Boldmere St Michaels 1.44 · Bedworth Utd 1.08), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Boldmere St Michaels vs Bedworth Utd?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.