Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 12/10, 21:00
Prediction: GV San Jose vs Guabira
Team pages: GV San Jose · Guabira
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
GV San Jose1.81
Guabira1.23
1X2
GV San Jose
Draw
Guabira
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
GV San Jose
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Guabira
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
GV San Jose
2–3
Guabira
(5 last)
- Guabira3-0GV San Jose
- Guabira2-1GV San Jose
- GV San Jose4-1Guabira
- GV San Jose5-0Guabira
- Guabira1-0GV San Jose
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · GV San Jose 1387 · Guabira 1528
| GV San Jose | Draw | Guabira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guabira (rating 1387 vs 1528).
- H2H favours Guabira: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| GV San Jose | Guabira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/30/70% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · GV San Jose 2–0–3 Guabira
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Guabira | 3-0 HT 2-0 | GV San Jose |
| 29/11/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Guabira | 2-1 HT 0-1 | GV San Jose |
| 21/06/25 Bolivia Primera Division | GV San Jose | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Guabira |
| 17/11/24 Bolivia Clausura | GV San Jose | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Guabira |
| 28/07/24 Bolivia Clausura | Guabira | 1-0 HT 0-0 | GV San Jose |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 54 | 22 | 45 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 45 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 22 | 42 |
| 4 | Oriente Petrolero | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 27 | 33 |
| 5 | Real Potosi | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 14 | 32 |
| 6 | Club Aurora | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 31 | 27 | 30 |
| 7 | Guabira | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 39 | 29 |
| 8 | Nacional Potosi | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 28 | 27 |
| 9 | Blooming | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 22 | 27 |
| 10 | Independiente Petrolero | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 35 | 25 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 51 | 24 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 40 | 21 |
| 13 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 46 | 20 |
| 14 | Universitario De Vinto | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 42 | 18 |
| 15 | Real Tomayapo | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 17 |
| 16 | GV San Jose | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 37 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | GV San Jose | Guabira |
|---|---|---|
| Club Aurora | 0-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Independiente Petrolero | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Always Ready | 2-3 L | 0-6 L |
| Real Potosi | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Universitario De Vinto | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: GV San Jose (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
GV San Jose
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
0-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 22/08 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/08 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/08 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 27/07 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Guabira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-5 | 0-6 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 28/08 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 15/08 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 05/08 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 8 | W |
| 31/07 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in GV San Jose vs Guabira?
According to our model, the most likely result is a GV San Jose win (50%). Probabilities: GV San Jose 50%, draw 25%, Guabira 25%.
How many goals are expected in GV San Jose vs Guabira?
The model expects 3.03 goals (GV San Jose 1.81 · Guabira 1.23), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in GV San Jose vs Guabira?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.