Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 12/10, 01:30
Prediction: Bolivar vs Blooming
Team pages: Bolivar · Blooming
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.72Total
Bolivar2.86
Blooming0.86
1X2
Bolivar
Draw
Blooming
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Bolivar
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Blooming
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bolivar
4–2–0
Blooming
(6 last)
- Blooming1-1Bolivar
- Bolivar3-0Blooming
- Blooming0-0Bolivar
- Blooming1-3Bolivar
- Bolivar5-1Blooming
- Bolivar5-0Blooming
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bolivar 1664 · Blooming 1417
| Bolivar | Draw | Blooming | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 88% | 9% | 4% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.72 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bolivar (rating 1664 vs 1417).
- H2H favours Bolivar: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bolivar | Blooming | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.1 | 2.6 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bolivar 4–2–0 Blooming
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Blooming | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Bolivar |
| 27/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Bolivar | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Blooming |
| 11/05/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Blooming | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Bolivar |
| 28/02/26 America Friendlies | Blooming | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Bolivar |
| 26/02/26 America Friendlies | Bolivar | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Blooming |
| 19/12/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Bolivar | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Blooming |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 54 | 22 | 45 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 45 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 22 | 42 |
| 4 | Oriente Petrolero | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 27 | 33 |
| 5 | Real Potosi | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 14 | 32 |
| 6 | Club Aurora | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 31 | 27 | 30 |
| 7 | Guabira | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 39 | 29 |
| 8 | Nacional Potosi | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 28 | 27 |
| 9 | Blooming | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 22 | 27 |
| 10 | Independiente Petrolero | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 35 | 25 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 51 | 24 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 40 | 21 |
| 13 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 46 | 20 |
| 14 | Universitario De Vinto | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 42 | 18 |
| 15 | Real Tomayapo | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 17 |
| 16 | GV San Jose | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 37 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bolivar | Blooming |
|---|---|---|
| Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 4-1 W | 6-1 W |
| Real Oruro | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 4-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Club Aurora | 4-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Always Ready | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Real Potosi | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bolivar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
3-0 | 4-2 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 28/08 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
2-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 06/08 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Blooming
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 13/09 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 6-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 07/09 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 27/08 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 16/08 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 09/08 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 07/08 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bolivar vs Blooming?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bolivar win (83%). Probabilities: Bolivar 83%, draw 11%, Blooming 6%.
How many goals are expected in Bolivar vs Blooming?
The model expects 3.72 goals (Bolivar 2.86 · Blooming 0.86), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Bolivar vs Blooming?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.