Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 12/10, 23:15

Prediction: Always Ready vs Independiente Petrolero

Team pages: Always Ready · Independiente Petrolero

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.63Total

Always Ready2.82

Independiente Petrolero0.82

1X2

83% 11% 6%

Always Ready Draw Independiente Petrolero

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Always Ready 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWDDDWWW

Independiente Petrolero 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLWLLL

Head-to-head

Always Ready 2–2–2 Independiente Petrolero (6 last)

Independiente Petrolero0-0Always Ready
Independiente Petrolero5-2Always Ready
Always Ready5-0Independiente Petrolero
Independiente Petrolero3-7Always Ready
Always Ready0-0Independiente Petrolero
Always Ready0-1Independiente Petrolero

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Always Ready 1540 · Independiente Petrolero 1502

	Always Ready	Draw	Independiente Petrolero
Our model	78%	15%	8%
Market	87%	9%	4%

Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Always Ready	Independiente Petrolero
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.8	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.2	1.6 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.08

X11.00

221.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.75)1.82

2 (+2.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 41.80

Under 42.00

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.08 → 1.08	Bet365 1.08
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	21.00 → 21.00	Bet365 21.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
02:13 +5’	1.08	11.00	21.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Always Ready 2–2–2 Independiente Petrolero

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Independiente Petrolero	0-0 HT 0-0	Always Ready
14/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Independiente Petrolero	5-2 HT 2-1	Always Ready
20/07/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Always Ready	5-0 HT 3-0	Independiente Petrolero
18/12/24 Bolivia Clausura	Independiente Petrolero	3-7 HT 1-3	Always Ready
15/09/24 Bolivia Clausura	Always Ready	0-0 HT 0-0	Independiente Petrolero
31/03/24 Bolivia Apertura	Always Ready	0-1 HT 0-1	Independiente Petrolero

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	20	14	3	3	54	22	45
2	Always Ready	20	13	6	1	47	13	45
3	The Strongest	20	12	6	2	39	22	42
4	Oriente Petrolero	21	10	3	8	37	27	33
5	Real Potosi	20	8	8	4	27	14	32
6	Club Aurora	20	7	9	4	31	27	30
7	Guabira	20	8	5	7	32	39	29
8	Nacional Potosi	20	8	3	9	30	28	27
9	Blooming	20	6	9	5	30	22	27
10	Independiente Petrolero	20	7	4	9	27	35	25
11	Real Oruro	21	7	3	11	35	51	24
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	21	6	3	12	21	40	21
13	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	21	6	2	13	31	46	20
14	Universitario De Vinto	21	5	3	13	27	42	18
15	Real Tomayapo	21	4	5	12	15	39	17
16	GV San Jose	20	2	8	10	21	37	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Always Ready	Independiente Petrolero
Nacional Potosi	4-0 W	0-3 L
Guabira	6-0 W	3-1 W
Oriente Petrolero	2-1 W	1-2 L
Club Aurora	2-2 D	1-1 D
GV San Jose	3-2 W	1-0 W
Bolivar	1-0 W	0-4 L
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Always Ready (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Always Ready

WWDWDDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	4-0	5	4	W
13/09	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	5-0	6-0	4	1	W
06/09	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
27/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	2-2	0	7	D
24/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	1	0	D
16/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
09/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	3-2	5	5	W
07/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
02/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
25/07	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-1	9	4	W

Independiente Petrolero

LWDWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	1-3	7	0	L
13/09	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-3	3	6	L
06/09	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-4	0	6	L
28/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
23/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
17/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
08/08	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	2-1	1	7	W
05/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
01/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	3-0	2	6	W
26/07	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-2	9	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Always Ready vs Independiente Petrolero?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Always Ready win (83%). Probabilities: Always Ready 83%, draw 11%, Independiente Petrolero 6%.

How many goals are expected in Always Ready vs Independiente Petrolero?

The model expects 3.63 goals (Always Ready 2.82 · Independiente Petrolero 0.82), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Always Ready vs Independiente Petrolero?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.