Football · Hungary NB II · 14/10, 17:00

Prediction: Mezokovesd Zsory vs FC Ajka

Team pages: Mezokovesd Zsory · FC Ajka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.43Total

Mezokovesd Zsory1.47

FC Ajka0.96

1X2

48% 28% 24%

Mezokovesd Zsory Draw FC Ajka

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Mezokovesd Zsory 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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FC Ajka 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Mezokovesd Zsory 2–3–1 FC Ajka (6 last)

Mezokovesd Zsory1-1FC Ajka
Mezokovesd Zsory1-1FC Ajka
FC Ajka1-1Mezokovesd Zsory
FC Ajka1-0Mezokovesd Zsory
FC Ajka1-2Mezokovesd Zsory
FC Ajka0-1Mezokovesd Zsory

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mezokovesd Zsory 1462 · FC Ajka 1485

	Mezokovesd Zsory	Draw	FC Ajka
Our model	48%	29%	23%
Market	49%	27%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Mezokovesd Zsory: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mezokovesd Zsory	FC Ajka
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.5	2.4 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.30

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:56 +12’	1.83	3.30	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mezokovesd Zsory 2–3–1 FC Ajka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Hungary NB II	Mezokovesd Zsory	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Ajka
04/05/25 Hungary NB II	Mezokovesd Zsory	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Ajka
03/11/24 Hungary NB II	FC Ajka	1-1 HT 1-1	Mezokovesd Zsory
16/09/23 Hungary Cup	FC Ajka	1-0 HT 1-0	Mezokovesd Zsory
10/02/21 Hungary Cup	FC Ajka	1-2 HT 1-1	Mezokovesd Zsory
08/05/16 Hungary NB II	FC Ajka	0-1 HT 0-0	Mezokovesd Zsory

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	9	6	2	1	25	12	20
2	Kecskemeti TE	9	6	2	1	17	9	20
3	Tiszakecske FC	9	5	4	0	21	13	19
4	Gyirmot SE	9	5	1	3	14	14	16
5	Kazincbarcikai BSC	9	4	4	1	16	11	16
6	FC Ajka	8	4	2	2	12	10	14
7	Mezokovesd Zsory	8	4	1	3	12	9	13
8	Fehervar FC	9	4	0	5	14	11	12
9	Karcagi SE	9	2	5	2	13	14	11
10	Szentlorinc SE	8	3	1	4	8	12	10
11	Diosgyori VTK	8	3	1	4	10	15	10
12	FC Nagykanizsa	9	3	0	6	7	11	9
13	BVSC Zuglo	8	2	1	5	9	11	7
14	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	8	1	4	3	7	9	7
15	Csakvari TK	9	1	1	7	9	21	4
16	Kozarmisleny SE	9	1	1	7	6	18	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mezokovesd Zsory	FC Ajka
Szeged-Csanad Grosics	1-1 D	0-3 L
Tiszakecske FC	0-1 L	3-4 L
Soroksar	0-1 L	0-3 L
Kecskemeti TE	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Mezokovesd Zsory (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mezokovesd Zsory

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
19/09	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	3-0	4-1	4	3	W
05/09	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
29/08	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	0-0	4-2	2	3	W
22/08	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	1-1	2-1	5	7	W
15/08	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
08/08	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
26/07	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
17/05	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
10/05	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-2	4	4	L

FC Ajka

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-3	3-4	0	5	L
19/09	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
30/08	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
22/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	7	8	W
15/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
08/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
25/07	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-0	3-1	4	2	W
17/05	Vasas SC Hungary NB II	0-1	1-2	1	3	L
10/05	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-1	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mezokovesd Zsory vs FC Ajka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mezokovesd Zsory win (48%). Probabilities: Mezokovesd Zsory 48%, draw 28%, FC Ajka 24%.

How many goals are expected in Mezokovesd Zsory vs FC Ajka?

The model expects 2.43 goals (Mezokovesd Zsory 1.47 · FC Ajka 0.96), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Mezokovesd Zsory vs FC Ajka?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.