Football · Algeria Division 2 · 08/10, 16:00

Prediction: RC Kouba vs USM El Harrach

Team pages: RC Kouba · USM El Harrach

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.27Total

RC Kouba1.26

USM El Harrach1.02

1X2

40% 32% 28%

RC Kouba Draw USM El Harrach

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

RC Kouba 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

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USM El Harrach 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

RC Kouba 2–2–2 USM El Harrach (6 last)

USM El Harrach2-1RC Kouba
RC Kouba0-0USM El Harrach
USM El Harrach1-0RC Kouba
RC Kouba2-1USM El Harrach
USM El Harrach0-0RC Kouba
RC Kouba1-0USM El Harrach

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RC Kouba 1599 · USM El Harrach 1534

	RC Kouba	Draw	USM El Harrach
Our model	40%	31%	29%
Market	40%	32%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RC Kouba (rating 1599 vs 1534).
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RC Kouba	USM El Harrach
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.4	1.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	13/63/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.5	2.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	2.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.25

X2.80

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.80

Under 1.752.00

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
01:32 +51’	2.25	2.80	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · RC Kouba 2–2–2 USM El Harrach

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Algeria Division 2	USM El Harrach	2-1 HT 0-1	RC Kouba
27/09/25 Algeria Division 2	RC Kouba	0-0 HT 0-0	USM El Harrach
19/02/22 Algeria Division 2	USM El Harrach	1-0	RC Kouba
05/11/21 Algeria Division 2	RC Kouba	2-1 HT 1-1	USM El Harrach
08/05/21 Algeria Division 2	USM El Harrach	0-0 HT 0-0	RC Kouba
06/03/21 Algeria Division 2	RC Kouba	1-0 HT 0-0	USM El Harrach

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RC Kouba	3	3	0	0	7	1	9
2	USM El Harrach	3	2	1	0	6	1	7
3	USM Blida	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
4	MC Saida	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
5	GC Mascara	3	1	2	0	4	1	5
6	ES Mostaganem	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
7	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali	3	1	1	1	4	5	4
8	WA Mostaganem	3	1	1	1	6	6	4
9	ESM Kolea	3	2	0	1	4	3	3
10	ASM Oran	3	1	0	2	3	3	3
11	NA Hussein Dey	3	1	0	2	2	3	3
11	WA Tlemcen	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
13	MC El Bayadh	3	0	1	2	0	2	1
14	JSM Tiaret	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
15	JRB Taghit	3	0	0	3	0	6	0
15	RC Arba	2	0	0	2	0	6	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RC Kouba	USM El Harrach
ESM Kolea	3-0 W	2-1 W
GC Mascara	2-0 W	1-1 D
ASM Oran	1-0 W	1-0 W
JS Tixeraine	2-0 W	2-0 W
JSM Tiaret	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: RC Kouba (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RC Kouba

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	NA Hussein Dey Algeria Division 2	1-0	2-1	4	12	W
26/09	WA Tlemcen Algeria Division 2	1-0	2-0	10	5	W
19/09	ESM Kolea Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
08/05	GC Mascara Algeria Division 2	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
01/05	ASM Oran Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
25/04	JS Tixeraine Algeria Division 2	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
18/04	JSM Tiaret Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
10/04	WA Tlemcen Algeria Division 2	2-0	4-1	3	0	W
04/04	NA Hussein Dey Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-0	7	1	W
27/03	ESM Kolea Algeria Division 2	0-1	2-1	8	7	W

USM El Harrach

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	JRB Taghit Algeria Division 2	–	4-0	–	–	W
26/09	JSM Tiaret Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
19/09	ASM Oran Algeria Division 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
16/05	US Chaouia Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-2	7	4	L
08/05	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
01/05	GC Mascara Algeria Division 2	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
25/04	ESM Kolea Algeria Division 2	1-1	2-1	1	0	W
18/04	JS Tixeraine Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
10/04	ASM Oran Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
04/04	RC Arba Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-2	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RC Kouba vs USM El Harrach?

According to our model, the most likely result is a RC Kouba win (40%). Probabilities: RC Kouba 40%, draw 32%, USM El Harrach 28%.

How many goals are expected in RC Kouba vs USM El Harrach?

The model expects 2.27 goals (RC Kouba 1.26 · USM El Harrach 1.02), with a 57% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in RC Kouba vs USM El Harrach?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.