Football · Algeria Division 2 · 18/10, 16:00

Prediction: RC Kouba vs ASM Oran

Team pages: RC Kouba · ASM Oran

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.11Total

RC Kouba1.52

ASM Oran0.59

1X2

60% 25% 14%

RC Kouba Draw ASM Oran

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

RC Kouba 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWWWWD

ASM Oran 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLWLWW

Head-to-head

RC Kouba 3–2–1 ASM Oran (6 last)

ASM Oran0-1RC Kouba
RC Kouba0-0ASM Oran
ASM Oran1-0RC Kouba
RC Kouba0-0ASM Oran
RC Kouba3-1ASM Oran
ASM Oran0-1RC Kouba

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RC Kouba 1599 · ASM Oran 1538

	RC Kouba	Draw	ASM Oran
Our model	59%	28%	13%
Market	62%	23%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RC Kouba (rating 1599 vs 1538).
H2H favours RC Kouba: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RC Kouba	ASM Oran
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.3	1.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.1	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	33/56/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.45

X3.90

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.45▼	Bet365 1.45
X	3.20 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90
2	4.75 → 5.75▲	Pinn 7.06 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:04 +19’	1.70	3.20	4.75
12:16 +3’	1.55▼	3.40▲	5.75▲
15:43	1.45▼	3.90▲	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:11 +64’	1.53	3.30	5.93
15:39 +4’	1.41▼	3.81▲	7.06▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · RC Kouba 3–2–1 ASM Oran

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Algeria Division 2	ASM Oran	0-1 HT 0-0	RC Kouba
27/12/25 Algeria Division 2	RC Kouba	0-0 HT 0-0	ASM Oran
15/03/25 Algeria Division 2	ASM Oran	1-0 HT 0-0	RC Kouba
19/11/24 Algeria Division 2	RC Kouba	0-0 HT 0-0	ASM Oran
04/03/24 Algeria Division 2	RC Kouba	3-1 HT 2-0	ASM Oran
13/10/23 Algeria Division 2	ASM Oran	0-1 HT 0-1	RC Kouba

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	USM Blida	6	5	1	0	12	3	16
2	RC Kouba	5	4	1	0	11	1	13
3	MC Saida	5	4	1	0	7	3	13
4	GC Mascara	5	3	2	0	7	1	11
5	ES Mostaganem	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
6	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali	6	3	1	2	10	10	10
7	USM El Harrach	5	3	1	1	9	6	10
8	ASM Oran	5	3	0	2	10	4	9
9	WA Mostaganem	5	1	3	1	7	7	6
10	NA Hussein Dey	6	2	0	4	7	9	6
11	ESM Kolea	6	2	0	4	7	10	6
12	WA Tlemcen	5	1	1	3	2	7	4
13	JSM Tiaret	6	1	1	4	9	8	4
14	MC El Bayadh	6	0	2	4	1	7	2
15	JRB Taghit	6	0	1	5	2	19	1
16	RC Arba	3	0	0	3	1	9	-4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RC Kouba	ASM Oran
WA Mostaganem	0-0 D	3-1 W
USM El Harrach	4-0 W	0-1 L
JSM Tiaret	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ASM Oran (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RC Kouba

WDWWWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/10	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
08/10	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	0-0	4-0	4	3	W
03/10	NA Hussein Dey Algeria Division 2	1-0	2-1	4	12	W
26/09	WA Tlemcen Algeria Division 2	1-0	2-0	10	5	W
19/09	ESM Kolea Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
08/05	GC Mascara Algeria Division 2	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
01/05	ASM Oran Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
25/04	JS Tixeraine Algeria Division 2	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
18/04	JSM Tiaret Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
10/04	WA Tlemcen Algeria Division 2	2-0	4-1	3	0	W

ASM Oran

WWLLWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	JRB Taghit Algeria Division 2	1-0	6-1	2	2	W
09/10	JSM Tiaret Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
03/10	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
26/09	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	2-1	3-1	7	5	W
19/09	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
08/05	CRB Adrar Algeria Division 2	3-0	4-1	3	1	W
01/05	RC Kouba Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
25/04	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-1	14	4	L
18/04	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
10/04	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-1	0	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RC Kouba vs ASM Oran?

According to our model, the most likely result is a RC Kouba win (60%). Probabilities: RC Kouba 60%, draw 25%, ASM Oran 14%.

How many goals are expected in RC Kouba vs ASM Oran?

The model expects 2.11 goals (RC Kouba 1.52 · ASM Oran 0.59), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in RC Kouba vs ASM Oran?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.