Football · Algeria Division 2 · 13/10, 16:00

Prediction: MC Saida vs JSM Tiaret

Team pages: MC Saida · JSM Tiaret

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.05Total

MC Saida1.38

JSM Tiaret0.67

1X2

53% 29% 17%

MC Saida Draw JSM Tiaret

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

MC Saida 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDWLDWLDWW

JSM Tiaret 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLDWLLLDLL

Head-to-head

MC Saida 2–2–2 JSM Tiaret (6 last)

JSM Tiaret0-0MC Saida
MC Saida2-1JSM Tiaret
MC Saida1-0JSM Tiaret
JSM Tiaret1-0MC Saida
JSM Tiaret2-1MC Saida
MC Saida1-1JSM Tiaret

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MC Saida 1540 · JSM Tiaret 1427

	MC Saida	Draw	JSM Tiaret
Our model	53%	30%	17%
Market	54%	29%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MC Saida (rating 1540 vs 1427).
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MC Saida	JSM Tiaret
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.7	0.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/67/22%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 8	1.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.4	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.10

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.65▼	Bet365 1.65
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	4.75 → 5.00▲	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:25 +40’	1.70	3.10	4.75
16:56 +13’	1.65▼	3.10	5.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MC Saida 2–2–2 JSM Tiaret

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Algeria Division 2	JSM Tiaret	0-0 HT 0-0	MC Saida
18/11/25 Algeria Division 2	MC Saida	2-1 HT 2-0	JSM Tiaret
14/11/25 Algeria Cup	MC Saida	1-0 HT 1-0	JSM Tiaret
22/03/25 Algeria Division 2	JSM Tiaret	1-0 HT 0-0	MC Saida
29/11/24 Algeria Cup	JSM Tiaret	2-1 HT 1-1	MC Saida
09/11/24 Algeria Division 2	MC Saida	1-1 HT 0-0	JSM Tiaret

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RC Kouba	4	4	0	0	11	1	12
2	USM Blida	4	3	1	0	7	3	10
3	GC Mascara	4	2	2	0	5	1	8
4	MC Saida	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
5	USM El Harrach	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
6	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali	4	2	1	1	7	7	7
7	ASM Oran	4	2	0	2	4	3	6
8	WA Mostaganem	4	1	2	1	7	7	5
9	ES Mostaganem	4	1	1	2	4	5	4
10	WA Tlemcen	3	1	1	1	2	3	4
11	ESM Kolea	4	2	0	2	4	4	3
12	NA Hussein Dey	4	1	0	3	4	6	3
13	MC El Bayadh	4	0	2	2	0	2	2
14	JSM Tiaret	4	0	1	3	3	7	1
15	JRB Taghit	4	0	1	3	1	7	1
16	RC Arba	2	0	0	2	0	6	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MC Saida	JSM Tiaret
ASM Oran	1-0 W	0-1 L
WA Mostaganem	2-2 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: MC Saida (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MC Saida

DDWLDWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	ASM Oran Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
26/09	JRB Taghit Algeria Division 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/09	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	2-1	2-2	11	7	D
08/05	JS Tixeraine Algeria Division 2	1-2	1-2	11	1	L
01/05	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	1-1	2-1	1	2	W
25/04	GC Mascara Algeria Division 2	0-1	1-1	12	0	D
18/04	ASM Oran Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
10/04	ESM Kolea Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-0	10	1	W
04/04	JSM Tiaret Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
28/03	RC Arba Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	7	9	D

JSM Tiaret

DLDWLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	ASM Oran Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	12	5	L
03/10	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-3	2	7	L
26/09	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
19/09	WA Tlemcen Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
08/05	US Bechar Djedid Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-3	7	2	L
01/05	CR Temouchent Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
25/04	CRB Adrar Algeria Division 2	1-0	4-1	4	4	W
18/04	RC Kouba Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
09/04	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-3	6	1	L
04/04	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MC Saida vs JSM Tiaret?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MC Saida win (53%). Probabilities: MC Saida 53%, draw 29%, JSM Tiaret 17%.

How many goals are expected in MC Saida vs JSM Tiaret?

The model expects 2.05 goals (MC Saida 1.38 · JSM Tiaret 0.67), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in MC Saida vs JSM Tiaret?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.