Football · Algeria Division 2 · 17/10, 16:00
Prediction: US Chaouia vs NRB Teleghma
Team pages: US Chaouia · NRB Teleghma
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
US Chaouia1.98
NRB Teleghma0.67
1X2
US Chaouia
Draw
NRB Teleghma
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
US Chaouia
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
NRB Teleghma
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
US Chaouia
2–1–3
NRB Teleghma
(6 last)
- US Chaouia3-1NRB Teleghma
- NRB Teleghma2-1US Chaouia
- NRB Teleghma1-1US Chaouia
- US Chaouia1-2NRB Teleghma
- NRB Teleghma1-0US Chaouia
- US Chaouia1-0NRB Teleghma
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · US Chaouia 1514 · NRB Teleghma 1442
| US Chaouia | Draw | NRB Teleghma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 22% | 11% |
| Market | 67% | 23% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours US Chaouia (rating 1514 vs 1442).
- H2H favours NRB Teleghma: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| US Chaouia | NRB Teleghma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.6 | 1 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · US Chaouia 2–1–3 NRB Teleghma
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 Algeria Division 2 | US Chaouia | 3-1 HT 3-1 | NRB Teleghma |
| 25/10/25 Algeria Division 2 | NRB Teleghma | 2-1 HT 1-1 | US Chaouia |
| 31/01/25 Algeria Division 2 | NRB Teleghma | 1-1 HT 1-1 | US Chaouia |
| 28/09/24 Algeria Division 2 | US Chaouia | 1-2 HT 1-0 | NRB Teleghma |
| 17/03/23 Algeria Division 2 | NRB Teleghma | 1-0 HT 0-0 | US Chaouia |
| 15/11/22 Algeria Division 2 | US Chaouia | 1-0 HT 0-0 | NRB Teleghma |
Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-East
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSP Batna | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | USM Annaba | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | JSM Skikda | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | MO Constantine | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | JS Azazga | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | NRB Beni Oulbene | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | NC Magra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | AS Khroub | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | NRB Teleghma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 10 | CA Batna | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | US Chaouia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | MO Bejaia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Paradou AC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | IRB Nezla | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | CR Beni Thour | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | JS Djijel | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | US Chaouia | NRB Teleghma |
|---|---|---|
| Paradou AC | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| USM Annaba | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| AS Khroub | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| NC Magra | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| NRB Beni Oulbene | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
US Chaouia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Paradou AC Algeria Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 09/10 | USM Annaba Algeria Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/10 | AS Khroub Algeria Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | NC Magra Algeria Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 18/09 | NRB Beni Oulbene Algeria Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 20/05 | CR Temouchent Algeria Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | US Biskra Algeria Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | JS Djijel Algeria Division 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 21/04 | MO Constantine Algeria Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
NRB Teleghma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | USM Annaba Algeria Division 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 09/10 | AS Khroub Algeria Division 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 02/10 | NC Magra Algeria Division 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Paradou AC Algeria Division 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 18/09 | MSP Batna Algeria Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | AS Khroub Algeria Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | JS Bordj Menaiel Algeria Division 2 |
0-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 21/04 | NRB Beni Oulbene Algeria Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 17/04 | NC Magra Algeria Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/04 | CA Batna Algeria Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in US Chaouia vs NRB Teleghma?
According to our model, the most likely result is a US Chaouia win (67%). Probabilities: US Chaouia 67%, draw 23%, NRB Teleghma 10%.
How many goals are expected in US Chaouia vs NRB Teleghma?
The model expects 2.64 goals (US Chaouia 1.98 · NRB Teleghma 0.67), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in US Chaouia vs NRB Teleghma?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.