Prediction: Grimsby Borough vs Ashington

Team pages: Grimsby Borough · Ashington

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Grimsby Borough1.54
Ashington1.41
1X2
40% 26% 34%
Grimsby Borough Draw Ashington
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Grimsby Borough 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
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Ashington 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Grimsby Borough 0–2 Ashington (2 last)
  • Grimsby Borough0-1Ashington
  • Grimsby Borough1-2Ashington
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grimsby Borough 1433 · Ashington 1466
Grimsby BoroughDrawAshington
Our model40%27%34%
Market40%26%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Ashington: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Grimsby BoroughAshington
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.91.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.61.9 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 03.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Grimsby Borough 0–0–2 Ashington

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/01/25
England Northern League Division One
Grimsby Borough0-1
HT 0-1
Ashington
10/02/24
England Northern League Division One
Grimsby Borough1-2
HT 1-2
Ashington

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGrimsby BoroughAshington
Hallam 3-0 W 0-1 L
Stocksbridge PS 0-1 L 2-2 D
Bridlington Town 1-2 L 2-2 D
Garforth Town 3-3 D 2-1 W
Newton Aycliffe 1-0 W 2-5 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ashington (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grimsby Borough

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/09 Hallam
England Northern League Division One
2-0 3-0 46 W
26/09 Heaton Stannington
England Northern League Division One
0-2 0-2 44 L
19/09 Consett
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-2 41 L
16/09 Stocksbridge PS
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-1 103 L
11/09 Bradford P A
England Northern League Division One
0-3 1-7 13 L
26/08 Bridlington Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-2 40 L
19/08 Garforth Town
England Northern League Division One
3-1 3-3 24 D
04/04 Newton Aycliffe
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-0 34 W
01/04 Bridlington Town
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-2 33 L
17/03 Silsden
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 16 D

Ashington

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/09 West Auckland
England Northern League Division One
1-2 2-3 43 L
23/09 Guisborough Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-1 24 L
15/09 Garforth Town
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-1 04 W
25/08 Dunston UTS
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-1 27 D
19/08 Guisborough Town
England Northern League Division One
0-2 0-2 21 L
15/08 Stocksbridge PS
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-2 72 D
04/04 Hallam
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-1 13 L
27/03 Dunston UTS
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-0 44 W
17/03 Bridlington Town
England Northern League Division One
0-1 2-2 34 D
13/03 Newton Aycliffe
England Northern League Division One
1-1 2-5 63 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grimsby Borough vs Ashington?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Grimsby Borough win (40%). Probabilities: Grimsby Borough 40%, draw 26%, Ashington 34%.

How many goals are expected in Grimsby Borough vs Ashington?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Grimsby Borough 1.54 · Ashington 1.41), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Grimsby Borough vs Ashington?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.