Football · Panama Liga Prom · 09/10, 01:00
Prediction: Tauro FC Reserves vs Chorrillo
Team pages: Tauro FC Reserves · Chorrillo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Tauro FC Reserves1.39
Chorrillo1.34
1X2
Tauro FC Reserves
Draw
Chorrillo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Tauro FC Reserves
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Chorrillo
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tauro FC Reserves
3–3–0
Chorrillo
(6 last)
- Chorrillo2-2Tauro FC Reserves
- Chorrillo0-4Tauro FC Reserves
- Tauro FC Reserves0-0Chorrillo
- Tauro FC Reserves2-1Chorrillo
- Chorrillo1-1Tauro FC Reserves
- Chorrillo0-6Tauro FC Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tauro FC Reserves 1584 · Chorrillo 1537
| Tauro FC Reserves | Draw | Chorrillo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 28% | 35% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tauro FC Reserves (rating 1584 vs 1537).
- H2H favours Tauro FC Reserves: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tauro FC Reserves | Chorrillo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.1 | 1.8 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/56/11% | 13/63/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.6 | 1.9 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.3 | 6.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tauro FC Reserves 3–3–0 Chorrillo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/26 Panama Liga Prom | Chorrillo | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Tauro FC Reserves |
| 23/04/26 Panama Liga Prom | Chorrillo | 0-4 HT 0-4 | Tauro FC Reserves |
| 08/02/26 Panama Liga Prom | Tauro FC Reserves | 0-0 | Chorrillo |
| 29/10/25 Panama Liga Prom | Tauro FC Reserves | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Chorrillo |
| 07/08/25 Panama Liga Prom | Chorrillo | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Tauro FC Reserves |
| 05/05/25 Panama Liga Prom | Chorrillo | 0-6 HT 0-4 | Tauro FC Reserves |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tauro FC Reserves | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Chorrillo | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Plaza Amador Reserves | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 19 |
| 4 | Potros Del Este | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| 5 | Alianza FC Reserves | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 9 |
| 6 | San Martin FC | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 28 | 7 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tauro FC Reserves | Chorrillo |
|---|---|---|
| Academia Costa Del Este | 3-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 3-3 D | 0-0 D |
| Panama City FC | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| UMECIT Reserves | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Champions FC Academy | 5-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Alianza FC Reserves | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| San Martin FC | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Plaza Amador Reserves | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Potros Del Este | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 3 D 1 L | 6 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Chorrillo (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tauro FC Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/09 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
3-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 04/09 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 28/08 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 16/08 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Chorrillo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 26/09 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/09 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 11/09 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 05/09 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/08 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 20/08 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 12/08 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/08 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 30/07 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tauro FC Reserves vs Chorrillo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tauro FC Reserves win (38%). Probabilities: Tauro FC Reserves 38%, draw 27%, Chorrillo 35%.
How many goals are expected in Tauro FC Reserves vs Chorrillo?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Tauro FC Reserves 1.39 · Chorrillo 1.34), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tauro FC Reserves vs Chorrillo?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.