Football · Panama Liga Prom · 08/10, 16:00

Prediction: San Francisco Reserves vs Udelas FC

Team pages: San Francisco Reserves · Udelas FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

San Francisco Reserves1.41

Udelas FC1.84

1X2

28% 25% 46%

San Francisco Reserves Draw Udelas FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

San Francisco Reserves 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLWWWW

Udelas FC 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

San Francisco Reserves 4–2 Udelas FC (6 last)

Udelas FC3-0San Francisco Reserves
Udelas FC2-0San Francisco Reserves
San Francisco Reserves5-0Udelas FC
San Francisco Reserves2-0Udelas FC
Udelas FC1-6San Francisco Reserves
Udelas FC0-1San Francisco Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Francisco Reserves 1528 · Udelas FC 1598

	San Francisco Reserves	Draw	Udelas FC
Our model	29%	25%	47%
Market	28%	26%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Udelas FC (rating 1528 vs 1598).
H2H favours San Francisco Reserves: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 12.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Francisco Reserves	Udelas FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.7	2.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/56/22%	57/29/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	2.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.7	7.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.50

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
10:45 +9’	3.20	3.50	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · San Francisco Reserves 4–0–2 Udelas FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	3-0 HT 1-0	San Francisco Reserves
05/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	2-0 HT 2-0	San Francisco Reserves
17/01/26 Panama Liga Prom	San Francisco Reserves	5-0 HT 4-0	Udelas FC
18/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	San Francisco Reserves	2-0 HT 1-0	Udelas FC
20/07/25 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	1-6 HT 1-3	San Francisco Reserves
27/04/25 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	0-1 HT 0-0	San Francisco Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aguilas de la U	11	10	0	1	37	7	30
2	Udelas FC	11	9	0	2	29	11	27
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	10	6	3	1	21	13	21
4	SD Atletico Nacional	11	7	0	4	24	23	21
5	San Francisco Reserves	11	6	1	4	19	17	19
6	Union Cocle Reserves	11	2	3	6	11	23	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Francisco Reserves	Udelas FC
CD Universitario Reserves	1-0 W	1-0 W
La Familia FC	2-1 W	4-1 W
Herrera FC Reserves	1-0 W	3-1 W
Bocas	4-1 W	3-1 W
Veraguas United Reserves	1-4 L	5-1 W
Union Cocle Reserves	3-1 W	3-1 W
Aguilas de la U	0-2 L	0-2 L
SD Atletico Nacional	2-3 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 3 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Udelas FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Francisco Reserves

LLDLWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/10	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
27/09	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	6	9	W
19/09	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
04/09	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	–	4-1	–	–	W
28/08	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	1-4	5	4	L
21/08	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-1	3-1	2	8	W
15/08	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
07/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	1	6	D
01/08	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-3	4	8	L
25/07	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-3	5	4	L

Udelas FC

WWWLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	5-1	–	–	W
26/09	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	4	11	W
19/09	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	4-1	11	5	W
12/09	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	3-1	–	–	W
05/09	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	3-0	3-1	4	11	W
30/08	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
14/08	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-1	3	8	W
05/08	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	3-1	9	8	W
01/08	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-0	2	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Francisco Reserves vs Udelas FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Udelas FC win (46%). Probabilities: San Francisco Reserves 28%, draw 25%, Udelas FC 46%.

How many goals are expected in San Francisco Reserves vs Udelas FC?

The model expects 3.25 goals (San Francisco Reserves 1.41 · Udelas FC 1.84), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in San Francisco Reserves vs Udelas FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.