Football · Panama Liga Prom · 09/10, 03:00

Prediction: Champions FC Academy vs Academia Costa Del Este

Team pages: Champions FC Academy · Academia Costa Del Este

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.22Total

Champions FC Academy1.3

Academia Costa Del Este2.92

1X2

13% 17% 70%

Champions FC Academy Draw Academia Costa Del Este

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Champions FC Academy 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLDLWD

Academia Costa Del Este 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWLWWL

Head-to-head

Champions FC Academy 0–6 Academia Costa Del Este (6 last)

Academia Costa Del Este1-0Champions FC Academy
Academia Costa Del Este9-0Champions FC Academy
Champions FC Academy0-4Academia Costa Del Este
Champions FC Academy2-3Academia Costa Del Este
Academia Costa Del Este5-0Champions FC Academy
Academia Costa Del Este4-0Champions FC Academy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Champions FC Academy 1419 · Academia Costa Del Este 1568

	Champions FC Academy	Draw	Academia Costa Del Este
Our model	14%	16%	70%
Market	13%	18%	69%

Estimated total (ours) 4.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Academia Costa Del Este (rating 1419 vs 1568).
H2H favours Academia Costa Del Este: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Champions FC Academy	Academia Costa Del Este
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.8	2.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.4	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	33/56/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.9	2.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.3	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

17.00

X5.00

21.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.82

2 (-1.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:32 +13’	7.00	5.00	1.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Champions FC Academy 0–0–6 Academia Costa Del Este

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/07/26 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	1-0 HT 1-0	Champions FC Academy
25/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	9-0 HT 3-0	Champions FC Academy
07/02/26 Panama Liga Prom	Champions FC Academy	0-4	Academia Costa Del Este
25/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	Champions FC Academy	2-3 HT 1-2	Academia Costa Del Este
16/08/25 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	5-0 HT 2-0	Champions FC Academy
13/04/25 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	4-0 HT 2-0	Champions FC Academy

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Panama City FC	11	6	4	1	13	6	22
2	Academia Costa Del Este	11	7	1	3	23	17	22
3	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	11	5	2	4	14	16	17
4	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	11	4	3	4	19	11	15
5	UMECIT Reserves	11	2	3	6	13	23	9
6	Champions FC Academy	11	2	3	6	16	29	9

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Champions FC Academy	Academia Costa Del Este
Potros Del Este	1-1 D	3-2 W
Alianza FC Reserves	3-1 W	2-0 W
Chorrillo	0-3 L	2-3 L
San Martin FC	2-2 D	3-2 W
Plaza Amador Reserves	1-6 L	3-0 W
Tauro FC Reserves	1-5 L	2-3 L
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	2-2 D	2-1 W
UMECIT Reserves	1-3 L	2-1 W
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	5-3 W	1-3 L
Panama City FC	0-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 5 L	6 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Academia Costa Del Este (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Champions FC Academy

LWLDLLDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/10	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-1	9	8	D
25/09	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-0	3-1	10	6	W
18/09	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-3	3	7	L
13/09	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	0-2	2-2	5	10	D
04/09	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-3	1-6	4	3	L
28/08	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-2	1-5	4	5	L
21/08	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	2-2	3	6	D
15/08	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	1-3	6	6	L
07/08	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	4-1	5-3	3	5	W
02/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-2	2	4	L

Academia Costa Del Este

WDWLWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-3	6	4	L
25/09	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-2	11	7	W
18/09	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
11/09	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	2-1	2-3	5	10	L
06/09	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	–	3-2	–	–	W
28/08	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-0	4	5	W
21/08	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	1-3	5	4	L
16/08	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
09/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
30/07	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Champions FC Academy vs Academia Costa Del Este?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Academia Costa Del Este win (70%). Probabilities: Champions FC Academy 13%, draw 17%, Academia Costa Del Este 70%.

How many goals are expected in Champions FC Academy vs Academia Costa Del Este?

The model expects 4.22 goals (Champions FC Academy 1.3 · Academia Costa Del Este 2.92), with a 56% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Champions FC Academy vs Academia Costa Del Este?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.