Prediction: SD Atletico Nacional vs La Familia FC
Team pages: SD Atletico Nacional · La Familia FC
- SD Atletico Nacional1-0La Familia FC
- SD Atletico Nacional4-1La Familia FC
| SD Atletico Nacional | Draw | La Familia FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| Market | 68% | 18% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SD Atletico Nacional (rating 1533 vs 1418).
- H2H favours SD Atletico Nacional: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 14.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SD Atletico Nacional | La Familia FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2.2 | 1.6 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.5 | 1.5 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7.3 / 0.2 | 7.2 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SD Atletico Nacional 2–0–0 La Familia FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 Panama Liga Prom | SD Atletico Nacional | 1-0 HT 0-0 | La Familia FC |
| 28/03/25 Panama Liga Prom | SD Atletico Nacional | 4-1 HT 2-1 | La Familia FC |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguilas de la U | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | Udelas FC | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | SD Atletico Nacional | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 18 |
| 5 | San Francisco Reserves | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 16 |
| 6 | Union Cocle Reserves | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 9 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SD Atletico Nacional | La Familia FC |
|---|---|---|
| Herrera FC Reserves | 3-2 W | 1-5 L |
| Rayados de Chiriqui | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Bocas | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Veraguas United Reserves | 3-4 L | 1-1 D |
| CD Universitario Reserves | 3-1 W | 3-4 L |
| CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 2-4 L | 2-3 L |
| Udelas FC | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Aguilas de la U | 1-4 L | 2-3 L |
| Union Cocle Reserves | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| San Francisco Reserves | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: SD Atletico Nacional (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SD Atletico Nacional
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 17/09 | Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 12/09 | Bocas Panama Liga Prom |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/09 | Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 28/08 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 08/08 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
La Familia FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 19/09 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 13 | W |
| 29/08 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 22/08 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
3-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 16/08 | Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-5 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 07/08 | Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 26/07 | Bocas Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 10 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SD Atletico Nacional vs La Familia FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SD Atletico Nacional win (69%). Probabilities: SD Atletico Nacional 69%, draw 18%, La Familia FC 14%.
How many goals are expected in SD Atletico Nacional vs La Familia FC?
The model expects 3.97 goals (SD Atletico Nacional 2.75 · La Familia FC 1.22), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in SD Atletico Nacional vs La Familia FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.