Prediction: Corby vs Carlton Town

Team pages: Corby · Carlton Town

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
Corby1.43
Carlton Town1.78
1X2
30% 25% 45%
Corby Draw Carlton Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Corby 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
LDDDWDLDWL
Carlton Town 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWWWLDDLLW
Head-to-head
Corby 0–1–1 Carlton Town (2 last)
  • Carlton Town4-2Corby
  • Carlton Town1-1Corby
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Corby 1489 · Carlton Town 1481
CorbyDrawCarlton Town
Our model30%25%45%
Market30%25%45%
Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CorbyCarlton Town
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.61.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)11/44/44%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.62.1 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.14.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Corby 0–1–1 Carlton Town

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/11/21
England Northern League Division One
Carlton Town4-2
HT 2-1
Corby
05/04/18
England Northern League Division One
Carlton Town1-1
HT 1-0
Corby

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCorbyCarlton Town
Racing Club Warwick 1-1 D 0-0 D
Shepshed Dynamo 1-0 W 0-4 L
Boldmere St Michaels 0-0 D 0-5 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Corby (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Corby

LDDDWDLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/09 St Ives Town
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-3 71 L
09/09 Bedworth Utd
England Northern League Division One
1-1 2-1 65 W
05/09 Loughborough University
England Northern League Division One
1-1 3-3 46 D
12/08 Boston Town
England Northern League Division One
– 1-3 –– L
25/03 Racing Club Warwick
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 75 D
18/03 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-0 62 W
11/03 Wellingborough Town
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 73 D
04/03 Coleshill Town
England Northern League Division One
0-1 2-2 71 D
04/02 Boldmere St Michaels
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 26 D
18/11 Basford Utd
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-2 40 L

Carlton Town

WWWWLDDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/09 Long Eaton Utd
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-2 96 W
31/08 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
0-2 0-4 18 L
11/08 Boldmere St Michaels
England Northern League Division One
0-3 0-5 75 L
28/04 Racing Club Warwick
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 78 D
18/04 Sutton Coldfield
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-1 74 D
24/03 Anstey Nomads
England Northern League Division One
0-4 0-6 64 L
03/03 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-0 52 W
20/01 Long Eaton Utd
England Northern League Division One
1-0 4-1 45 W
04/11 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-2 43 W
28/10 Rugby Borough
England Northern League Division One
2-0 2-1 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Corby vs Carlton Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Carlton Town win (45%). Probabilities: Corby 30%, draw 25%, Carlton Town 45%.

How many goals are expected in Corby vs Carlton Town?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Corby 1.43 · Carlton Town 1.78), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Corby vs Carlton Town?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.