Football · Thailand Division 3 · 04/10, 10:30

Prediction: VRN Muangnont FC vs Suphanburi FC

Team pages: VRN Muangnont FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
VRN Muangnont FC1.2
Suphanburi FC1.17
1X2
36% 29% 35%
VRN Muangnont FC Draw Suphanburi FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
VRN Muangnont FC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
WLDDLLDWDD
Suphanburi FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LWLDDWWWDW
Head-to-head
VRN Muangnont FC 1–1–0 Suphanburi FC (2 last)
  • Suphanburi FC1-1VRN Muangnont FC
  • VRN Muangnont FC3-0Suphanburi FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VRN Muangnont FC 1482 · Suphanburi FC 1542
VRN Muangnont FCDrawSuphanburi FC
Our model35%30%34%
Market37%28%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suphanburi FC (rating 1482 vs 1542).
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

VRN Muangnont FCSuphanburi FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.11.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.91.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.13.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · VRN Muangnont FC 1–1–0 Suphanburi FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/02/26
Thailand Division 3
Suphanburi FC1-1
HT 1-1
VRN Muangnont FC
08/11/25
Thailand Division 3
VRN Muangnont FC3-0
HT 2-0
Suphanburi FC

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVRN Muangnont FCSuphanburi FC
Assumption United 1-0 W 1-0 W
Thonburi United FC 0-2 L 2-2 D
Samut Songkhram City 0-0 D 2-1 W
Nonthaburi United 1-1 D 0-0 D
Samut Sakhon 0-2 L 1-2 L
Raj Pracha 3-2 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 2 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Suphanburi FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VRN Muangnont FC

WLDDLLDWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Thap Luang United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 66 D
22/03 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-1 –– D
08/03 Assumption United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 27 W
28/02 Suphanburi FC
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-1 52 D
21/02 Thap Luang United
Thailand Division 3
0-2 0-2 40 L
14/02 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-2 53 L
10/02 Samut Songkhram City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 45 D
31/01 Nonthaburi United
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-1 34 D
25/01 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-2 33 L
11/01 Raj Pracha
Thailand Division 3
1-0 3-2 34 W

Suphanburi FC

LWLDDWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/03 Raj Pracha
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-0 58 W
28/02 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-1 42 D
14/02 Assumption United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 43 W
01/02 Hua Hin City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 2-1 45 W
24/01 Samut Songkhram City
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-1 23 W
17/01 Nonthaburi United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 32 D
11/01 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-2 11 D
23/11 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-2 13 L
15/11 Raj Pracha
Thailand Division 3
0-0 3-1 43 W
08/11 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
0-2 0-3 96 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VRN Muangnont FC vs Suphanburi FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a VRN Muangnont FC win (36%). Probabilities: VRN Muangnont FC 36%, draw 29%, Suphanburi FC 35%.

How many goals are expected in VRN Muangnont FC vs Suphanburi FC?

The model expects 2.37 goals (VRN Muangnont FC 1.2 · Suphanburi FC 1.17), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in VRN Muangnont FC vs Suphanburi FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.