Football · Thailand Division 3 · 04/10, 10:30
Prediction: Pluak Daeng United vs Marines FC Sattahip
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
Pluak Daeng United1.62
Marines FC Sattahip1.1
1X2
Pluak Daeng United
Draw
Marines FC Sattahip
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Pluak Daeng United
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Marines FC Sattahip
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pluak Daeng United
2–2–2
Marines FC Sattahip
(6 last)
- Pluak Daeng United2-1Marines FC Sattahip
- Marines FC Sattahip1-2Pluak Daeng United
- Marines FC Sattahip1-1Pluak Daeng United
- Pluak Daeng United1-2Marines FC Sattahip
- Pluak Daeng United0-0Marines FC Sattahip
- Pluak Daeng United0-3Marines FC Sattahip
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pluak Daeng United 1449 · Marines FC Sattahip 1474
| Pluak Daeng United | Draw | Marines FC Sattahip | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 27% | 25% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pluak Daeng United | Marines FC Sattahip | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.9 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.6 | 2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pluak Daeng United 2–2–2 Marines FC Sattahip
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/25 Thailand Division 3 | Pluak Daeng United | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Marines FC Sattahip |
| 01/12/24 Thailand Division 3 Cup | Marines FC Sattahip | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Pluak Daeng United |
| 28/09/24 Thailand Division 3 | Marines FC Sattahip | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Pluak Daeng United |
| 08/09/24 Thailand League Cup | Pluak Daeng United | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Marines FC Sattahip |
| 15/10/23 Thailand Division 3 | Pluak Daeng United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Marines FC Sattahip |
| 12/02/23 Thailand Division 3 | Pluak Daeng United | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Marines FC Sattahip |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pluak Daeng United | Marines FC Sattahip |
|---|---|---|
| Burapha United | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Padriew City | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Customs United | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Royal Navy | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| BFB Pattaya City | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Fleet FC | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Chachoengsao FC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pluak Daeng United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03 | Burapha United Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/03 | Padriew City Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 28/02 | Customs United Thailand Division 3 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 22/02 | Royal Navy Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 14/02 | BFB Pattaya City Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/02 | Fleet FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 18/01 | Chachoengsao FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 10/01 | Bankhai United Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 23/11 | Burapha United Thailand Division 3 |
2-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 15/11 | Padriew City Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Marines FC Sattahip
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03 | BFB Pattaya City Thailand Division 3 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 28/02 | Chachoengsao FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 21/02 | Padriew City Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 15/02 | Customs United Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 10/02 | Royal Navy Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 31/01 | Burapha United Thailand Division 3 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 24/01 | Fleet FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 11/01 | ACDC FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 22/11 | Saimit Kabin United Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 16/11 | BFB Pattaya City Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pluak Daeng United vs Marines FC Sattahip?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pluak Daeng United win (48%). Probabilities: Pluak Daeng United 48%, draw 27%, Marines FC Sattahip 25%.
How many goals are expected in Pluak Daeng United vs Marines FC Sattahip?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Pluak Daeng United 1.62 · Marines FC Sattahip 1.1), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Pluak Daeng United vs Marines FC Sattahip?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.