Football · Dominican Republic Liga · 04/10, 22:00

Prediction: Delfines Del Este vs Cibao FC

Team pages: Delfines Del Este · Cibao FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.8Total

Delfines Del Este0.77

Cibao FC1.03

1X2

27% 31% 41%

Delfines Del Este Draw Cibao FC

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Delfines Del Este 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLWDWL

Cibao FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWLDDW

Head-to-head

Delfines Del Este 1–1–4 Cibao FC (6 last)

Cibao FC0-1Delfines Del Este
Cibao FC0-0Delfines Del Este
Delfines Del Este0-1Cibao FC
Cibao FC1-0Delfines Del Este
Delfines Del Este1-2Cibao FC
Cibao FC1-0Delfines Del Este

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Delfines Del Este 1526 · Cibao FC 1549

	Delfines Del Este	Draw	Cibao FC
Our model	26%	35%	39%
Market	29%	28%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 1.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Cibao FC: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Delfines Del Este	Cibao FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.6	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.6	2.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.1	6.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.20

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
21:11 +5’	3.10	3.20	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Delfines Del Este 1–1–4 Cibao FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/08/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Cibao FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Delfines Del Este
21/03/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Cibao FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Delfines Del Este
15/02/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Delfines Del Este	0-1 HT 0-1	Cibao FC
10/01/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Cibao FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Delfines Del Este
19/09/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Delfines Del Este	1-2 HT 0-1	Cibao FC
25/05/25 Dominican Republic Cup	Cibao FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Delfines Del Este

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Delfines Del Este	Cibao FC
Salcedo FC	0-1 L	0-0 D
Atlantico FC	3-1 W	4-1 W
Moca FC	1-1 D	1-2 L
Atletico Vega Real	1-0 W	2-1 W
Universidad O&M	0-1 L	1-1 D
Jarabacoa FC	1-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cibao FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Delfines Del Este

LWDWWLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
26/09	Atlantico FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	3-1	3	2	W
24/09	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
20/09	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
05/09	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-1	10	9	L
29/08	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
26/08	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
22/08	Atlantico FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	9	8	D
09/05	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	2-1	2-1	6	3	W
03/05	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-1	9	9	L

Cibao FC

LWWLWWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
23/09	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
21/09	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
14/09	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-2	4	8	L
06/09	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	1-1	2-1	9	10	W
29/08	Atlantico FC Dominican Republic Liga	3-1	4-1	4	6	W
26/08	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
23/08	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
25/05	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	2-1	7	8	W
17/05	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-2	0	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Delfines Del Este vs Cibao FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cibao FC win (41%). Probabilities: Delfines Del Este 27%, draw 31%, Cibao FC 41%.

How many goals are expected in Delfines Del Este vs Cibao FC?

The model expects 1.8 goals (Delfines Del Este 0.77 · Cibao FC 1.03), with a 59% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Delfines Del Este vs Cibao FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.