Football · Algeria Division 2 · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: MC Saida vs ASM Oran

Team pages: MC Saida · ASM Oran

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.98Total

MC Saida1.12

ASM Oran0.86

1X2

40% 32% 27%

MC Saida Draw ASM Oran

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

MC Saida 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDDWLDWLDW

ASM Oran 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLLWLW

Head-to-head

MC Saida 2–2–2 ASM Oran (6 last)

ASM Oran1-0MC Saida
MC Saida2-1ASM Oran
ASM Oran1-1MC Saida
MC Saida2-1ASM Oran
MC Saida0-1ASM Oran
ASM Oran0-0MC Saida

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MC Saida 1510 · ASM Oran 1535

	MC Saida	Draw	ASM Oran
Our model	40%	33%	27%
Market	41%	31%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 1.98 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MC Saida	ASM Oran
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.9	1.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/56/33%	44/44/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 7.3	2.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.4	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X2.88

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.80

Under 1.752.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
14:31 +5’	2.20	2.88	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MC Saida 2–2–2 ASM Oran

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Algeria Division 2	ASM Oran	1-0 HT 0-0	MC Saida
28/11/25 Algeria Division 2	MC Saida	2-1 HT 1-0	ASM Oran
18/04/25 Algeria Division 2	ASM Oran	1-1 HT 1-1	MC Saida
07/12/24 Algeria Division 2	MC Saida	2-1 HT 2-1	ASM Oran
11/02/23 Algeria Division 2	MC Saida	0-1 HT 0-0	ASM Oran
30/09/22 Algeria Division 2	ASM Oran	0-0 HT 0-0	MC Saida

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RC Kouba	2	2	0	0	5	0	6
2	USM Blida	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
3	GC Mascara	2	1	1	0	3	0	4
4	MC Saida	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
5	USM El Harrach	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
6	ES Mostaganem	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
7	ASM Oran	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
8	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
8	WA Tlemcen	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
10	NA Hussein Dey	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
11	JSM Tiaret	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
12	MC El Bayadh	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
13	WA Mostaganem	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
14	ESM Kolea	2	1	0	1	3	3	0
15	JRB Taghit	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
16	RC Arba	2	0	0	2	0	6	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MC Saida	ASM Oran
WA Mostaganem	2-2 D	3-1 W
JS Tixeraine	1-2 L	1-0 W
GC Mascara	1-1 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: ASM Oran (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MC Saida

LDDWLDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	JRB Taghit Algeria Division 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/09	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	2-1	2-2	11	7	D
08/05	JS Tixeraine Algeria Division 2	1-2	1-2	11	1	L
01/05	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	1-1	2-1	1	2	W
25/04	GC Mascara Algeria Division 2	0-1	1-1	12	0	D
18/04	ASM Oran Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
10/04	ESM Kolea Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-0	10	1	W
04/04	JSM Tiaret Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
28/03	RC Arba Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	7	9	D
14/03	NA Hussein Dey Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-2	0	6	L

ASM Oran

WWWWWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	2-1	3-1	7	5	W
19/09	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
08/05	CRB Adrar Algeria Division 2	3-0	4-1	3	1	W
01/05	RC Kouba Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
25/04	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-1	14	4	L
18/04	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
10/04	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-1	0	1	W
03/04	GC Mascara Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-2	2	9	W
27/03	WA Tlemcen Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
14/03	JS Tixeraine Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-0	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MC Saida vs ASM Oran?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MC Saida win (40%). Probabilities: MC Saida 40%, draw 32%, ASM Oran 27%.

How many goals are expected in MC Saida vs ASM Oran?

The model expects 1.98 goals (MC Saida 1.12 · ASM Oran 0.86), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MC Saida vs ASM Oran?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.