Football · Algeria Division 2 · 13/10, 16:00

Prediction: NRB Teleghma vs USM Annaba

Team pages: NRB Teleghma · USM Annaba

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

NRB Teleghma1.12

USM Annaba1.18

1X2

33% 31% 36%

NRB Teleghma Draw USM Annaba

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

NRB Teleghma 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLDLLD

USM Annaba 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDDLLLWLWW

Head-to-head

NRB Teleghma 1–3–2 USM Annaba (6 last)

USM Annaba4-0NRB Teleghma
NRB Teleghma0-0USM Annaba
NRB Teleghma1-1USM Annaba
USM Annaba1-1NRB Teleghma
USM Annaba3-1NRB Teleghma
NRB Teleghma2-1USM Annaba

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NRB Teleghma 1396 · USM Annaba 1517

	NRB Teleghma	Draw	USM Annaba
Our model	33%	31%	36%
Market	32%	32%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours USM Annaba (rating 1396 vs 1517).
H2H favours USM Annaba: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NRB Teleghma	USM Annaba
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.1	1.1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.2	2.2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.75

X2.80

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.75

Under 1.752.05

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:45 +21’	2.75	2.80	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NRB Teleghma 1–3–2 USM Annaba

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/01/26 Algeria Division 2	USM Annaba	4-0 HT 3-0	NRB Teleghma
13/09/25 Algeria Division 2	NRB Teleghma	0-0 HT 0-0	USM Annaba
27/02/25 Algeria Division 2	NRB Teleghma	1-1 HT 0-1	USM Annaba
22/10/24 Algeria Division 2	USM Annaba	1-1 HT 1-1	NRB Teleghma
27/04/24 Algeria Division 2	USM Annaba	3-1 HT 2-0	NRB Teleghma
30/12/23 Algeria Division 2	NRB Teleghma	2-1 HT 1-1	USM Annaba

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	USM Annaba	4	3	0	1	8	2	9
2	JS Azazga	4	2	2	0	5	3	8
3	MSP Batna	4	2	2	0	4	2	8
4	NRB Beni Oulbene	4	2	1	1	4	2	7
5	NC Magra	4	2	1	1	3	4	7
6	JSM Skikda	3	2	0	1	3	1	6
7	MO Constantine	4	1	3	0	4	3	6
8	AS Khroub	4	1	3	0	3	2	6
9	MO Bejaia	3	1	1	1	4	3	4
10	Paradou AC	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
11	IRB Nezla	3	1	1	1	3	4	4
12	NRB Teleghma	4	0	2	2	5	7	2
13	CA Batna	4	0	2	2	2	4	2
14	US Chaouia	4	0	2	2	1	5	2
15	JS Djijel	3	0	1	2	0	3	1
16	CR Beni Thour	3	0	0	3	3	7	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NRB Teleghma	USM Annaba
AS Khroub	2-2 D	0-1 L
NC Magra	1-2 L	3-0 W
Paradou AC	1-2 L	2-1 W
CA Batna	0-1 L	0-2 L
MO Bejaia	0-4 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: USM Annaba (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NRB Teleghma

LLLDLLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	AS Khroub Algeria Division 2	1-2	2-2	2	8	D
02/10	NC Magra Algeria Division 2	0-2	1-2	4	3	L
26/09	Paradou AC Algeria Division 2	1-2	1-2	4	8	L
18/09	MSP Batna Algeria Division 2	0-1	1-1	3	2	D
09/05	AS Khroub Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-3	0	1	L
02/05	JS Bordj Menaiel Algeria Division 2	0-4	2-4	6	0	L
21/04	NRB Beni Oulbene Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
17/04	NC Magra Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
10/04	CA Batna Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
04/04	MO Bejaia Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-4	4	6	L

USM Annaba

WDDLLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	US Chaouia Algeria Division 2	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
02/10	Paradou AC Algeria Division 2	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
26/09	AS Khroub Algeria Division 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
18/09	NC Magra Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-0	0	3	W
09/05	CA Batna Algeria Division 2	0-2	0-2	0	0	L
02/05	MO Bejaia Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
21/04	JS Djijel Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
17/04	MO Constantine Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	11	7	D
10/04	CR Beni Thour Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
04/04	US Biskra Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-0	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NRB Teleghma vs USM Annaba?

According to our model, the most likely result is an USM Annaba win (36%). Probabilities: NRB Teleghma 33%, draw 31%, USM Annaba 36%.

How many goals are expected in NRB Teleghma vs USM Annaba?

The model expects 2.3 goals (NRB Teleghma 1.12 · USM Annaba 1.18), with a 58% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NRB Teleghma vs USM Annaba?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.