Football · Algeria Division 2 · 09/10, 16:00

Prediction: MSP Batna vs CR Beni Thour

Team pages: MSP Batna · CR Beni Thour

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.29Total

MSP Batna1.7

CR Beni Thour0.59

1X2

64% 24% 12%

MSP Batna Draw CR Beni Thour

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

MSP Batna 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLDWWDDW

CR Beni Thour 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDWDLWLL

Head-to-head

MSP Batna 0–2–0 CR Beni Thour (2 last)

CR Beni Thour0-0MSP Batna
MSP Batna1-1CR Beni Thour

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MSP Batna 1560 · CR Beni Thour 1472

	MSP Batna	Draw	CR Beni Thour
Our model	63%	25%	12%
Market	65%	23%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MSP Batna (rating 1560 vs 1472).
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MSP Batna	CR Beni Thour
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.3	0.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	22/44/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.1	0.8 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:10 +10’	1.40	4.00	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MSP Batna 0–2–0 CR Beni Thour

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/04/26 Algeria Division 2	CR Beni Thour	0-0 HT 0-0	MSP Batna
20/12/25 Algeria Division 2	MSP Batna	1-1 HT 0-0	CR Beni Thour

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	USM Annaba	3	2	0	1	5	2	6
2	JSM Skikda	3	2	0	1	3	1	6
3	NC Magra	3	2	0	1	3	4	6
4	MO Constantine	3	1	2	0	2	1	5
4	MSP Batna	3	1	2	0	2	1	5
6	JS Azazga	3	1	2	0	3	2	5
7	AS Khroub	3	1	2	0	1	0	5
8	MO Bejaia	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
9	Paradou AC	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
10	NRB Beni Oulbene	3	1	1	1	2	2	4
11	IRB Nezla	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
12	US Chaouia	3	0	2	1	1	2	2
13	JS Djijel	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
14	NRB Teleghma	3	0	1	2	3	5	1
15	CA Batna	3	0	1	2	2	4	1
16	CR Beni Thour	2	0	0	2	2	5	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MSP Batna	CR Beni Thour
MO Constantine	0-0 D	1-2 L
US Biskra	0-1 L	0-2 L
IB Khemis El Khechna	1-0 W	3-2 W
HB Chelghoum Laid	2-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: MSP Batna (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MSP Batna

WWWLDWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	CA Batna Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
26/09	MO Constantine Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
18/09	NRB Teleghma Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
09/05	JS Djijel Algeria Division 2	1-0	4-1	6	2	W
02/05	MO Constantine Algeria Division 2	1-0	5-0	6	1	W
21/04	CR Beni Thour Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
17/04	US Biskra Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
10/04	IB Khemis El Khechna Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
04/04	HB Chelghoum Laid Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
27/03	NRB Beni Oulbene Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	5	5	W

CR Beni Thour

LWLDWDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	MO Constantine Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-2	9	5	L
26/09	MO Bejaia Algeria Division 2	–	1-3	–	–	L
09/05	IB Khemis El Khechna Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-2	5	1	W
02/05	US Biskra Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
21/04	MSP Batna Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
17/04	HB Chelghoum Laid Algeria Division 2	2-1	3-2	10	5	W
10/04	USM Annaba Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
04/04	US Chaouia Algeria Division 2	0-2	0-4	0	3	L
27/03	JS Bordj Menaiel Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
14/03	AS Khroub Algeria Division 2	0-2	0-2	0	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MSP Batna vs CR Beni Thour?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MSP Batna win (64%). Probabilities: MSP Batna 64%, draw 24%, CR Beni Thour 12%.

How many goals are expected in MSP Batna vs CR Beni Thour?

The model expects 2.29 goals (MSP Batna 1.7 · CR Beni Thour 0.59), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in MSP Batna vs CR Beni Thour?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.