Football · Algeria Division 2 · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: WA Mostaganem vs JSM Tiaret

Team pages: WA Mostaganem · JSM Tiaret

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

WA Mostaganem1.42

JSM Tiaret0.94

1X2

47% 29% 24%

WA Mostaganem Draw JSM Tiaret

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

WA Mostaganem 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWLWLLDL

JSM Tiaret 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLDWLLLD

Head-to-head

WA Mostaganem 3–2–1 JSM Tiaret (6 last)

WA Mostaganem3-0JSM Tiaret
JSM Tiaret1-1WA Mostaganem
JSM Tiaret1-1WA Mostaganem
WA Mostaganem1-0JSM Tiaret
WA Mostaganem1-0JSM Tiaret
JSM Tiaret2-1WA Mostaganem

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · WA Mostaganem 1443 · JSM Tiaret 1463

	WA Mostaganem	Draw	JSM Tiaret
Our model	47%	29%	24%
Market	47%	29%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours WA Mostaganem: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	WA Mostaganem	JSM Tiaret
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.7	2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.3	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.10

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:22 +5’	1.91	3.10	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · WA Mostaganem 3–2–1 JSM Tiaret

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/04/26 Algeria Division 2	WA Mostaganem	3-0 HT 1-0	JSM Tiaret
22/11/25 Algeria Division 2	JSM Tiaret	1-1 HT 0-1	WA Mostaganem
15/02/25 Algeria Division 2	JSM Tiaret	1-1 HT 1-0	WA Mostaganem
11/10/24 Algeria Division 2	WA Mostaganem	1-0	JSM Tiaret
01/06/24 Algeria Division 2	WA Mostaganem	1-0	JSM Tiaret
28/01/24 Algeria Division 2	JSM Tiaret	2-1 HT 2-0	WA Mostaganem

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-West

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RC Kouba	2	2	0	0	5	0	6
2	USM Blida	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
3	GC Mascara	2	1	1	0	3	0	4
4	MC Saida	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
5	USM El Harrach	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
6	ES Mostaganem	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
7	ASM Oran	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
8	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
8	WA Tlemcen	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
10	NA Hussein Dey	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
11	JSM Tiaret	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
12	MC El Bayadh	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
13	WA Mostaganem	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
14	ESM Kolea	2	1	0	1	3	3	0
15	JRB Taghit	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
16	RC Arba	2	0	0	2	0	6	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	WA Mostaganem	JSM Tiaret
MC Saida	2-2 D	0-0 D
USM El Harrach	0-3 L	1-1 D
GC Mascara	0-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: JSM Tiaret (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

WA Mostaganem

DLLWLWLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	ASM Oran Algeria Division 2	1-2	1-3	3	5	L
19/09	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	1-2	2-2	4	7	D
08/05	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
01/05	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-2	3	2	L
25/04	ASM Oran Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
18/04	GC Mascara Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
09/04	JSM Tiaret Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-0	4	1	W
04/04	JS Tixeraine Algeria Division 2	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
28/03	NA Hussein Dey Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
14/03	RC Arba Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-2	5	6	D

JSM Tiaret

WLDLDWLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
19/09	WA Tlemcen Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
08/05	US Bechar Djedid Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-3	7	2	L
01/05	CR Temouchent Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
25/04	CRB Adrar Algeria Division 2	1-0	4-1	4	4	W
18/04	RC Kouba Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
09/04	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-3	6	1	L
04/04	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
28/03	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
14/03	GC Mascara Algeria Division 2	1-1	2-1	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in WA Mostaganem vs JSM Tiaret?

According to our model, the most likely result is a WA Mostaganem win (47%). Probabilities: WA Mostaganem 47%, draw 29%, JSM Tiaret 24%.

How many goals are expected in WA Mostaganem vs JSM Tiaret?

The model expects 2.37 goals (WA Mostaganem 1.42 · JSM Tiaret 0.94), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in WA Mostaganem vs JSM Tiaret?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.