Football · Japan Regional League · 27/09, 07:00

Prediction: Toin Yokohama University vs Tokyo 23 FC

Team pages: Toin Yokohama University · Tokyo 23 FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Toin Yokohama University1.37

Tokyo 23 FC1.71

1X2

30% 25% 45%

Toin Yokohama University Draw Tokyo 23 FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Toin Yokohama University 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLLLLD

Tokyo 23 FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLWLLLWW

Head-to-head

Toin Yokohama University 2–3 Tokyo 23 FC (5 last)

Tokyo 23 FC0-1Toin Yokohama University
Tokyo 23 FC1-0Toin Yokohama University
Toin Yokohama University1-2Tokyo 23 FC
Tokyo 23 FC1-3Toin Yokohama University
Toin Yokohama University1-6Tokyo 23 FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Toin Yokohama University 1430 · Tokyo 23 FC 1483

	Toin Yokohama University	Draw	Tokyo 23 FC
Our model	30%	26%	45%
Market	30%	25%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tokyo 23 FC (rating 1430 vs 1483).
H2H favours Tokyo 23 FC: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Toin Yokohama University	Tokyo 23 FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.1	1.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.5 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	2.4 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.60

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
09:18 +90’	3.00	3.60	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Toin Yokohama University 2–0–3 Tokyo 23 FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Japan Regional League	Tokyo 23 FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Toin Yokohama University
06/09/25 Japan Regional League	Tokyo 23 FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Toin Yokohama University
01/06/25 Japan Regional League	Toin Yokohama University	1-2 HT 0-0	Tokyo 23 FC
07/09/24 Japan Regional League	Tokyo 23 FC	1-3 HT 0-1	Toin Yokohama University
02/06/24 Japan Regional League	Toin Yokohama University	1-6 HT 1-1	Tokyo 23 FC

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Toin Yokohama University	Tokyo 23 FC
Shibuya City FC	0-1 L	1-4 L
Nihon University	0-6 L	2-1 W
Tokyo United FC	0-4 L	1-4 L
EDO ALL United	0-2 L	1-3 L
Nankatsu SC	1-3 L	2-0 W
Ryutsu Keizai Dragons	2-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tokyo 23 FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Toin Yokohama University

DWWLLLLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/09	Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
12/09	Shibuya City FC Japan Regional League	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
29/08	Nihon University Japan Regional League	0-1	0-6	1	5	L
23/08	Tokyo United FC Japan Regional League	0-1	0-4	6	7	L
16/08	Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
26/07	EDO ALL United Japan Regional League	0-1	0-2	10	4	L
19/07	Nankatsu SC Japan Regional League	0-3	1-3	3	2	L
12/07	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
04/07	Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
07/06	Shibuya City FC Japan Regional League	1-0	3-3	4	3	D

Tokyo 23 FC

WDLLWLLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Nankatsu SC Japan Regional League	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
05/09	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League	2-0	4-1	0	2	W
29/08	Tokyo United FC Japan Regional League	0-4	1-4	4	3	L
26/07	Shibuya City FC Japan Regional League	0-2	1-4	3	2	L
19/07	Toho Titanium Japan Regional League	0-3	0-4	4	0	L
12/07	Nihon University Japan Regional League	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
04/07	Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
28/06	EDO ALL United Japan Regional League	1-0	1-3	6	6	L
07/06	Nankatsu SC Japan Regional League	0-2	3-3	7	4	D
31/05	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League	0-0	2-0	3	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Toin Yokohama University vs Tokyo 23 FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tokyo 23 FC win (45%). Probabilities: Toin Yokohama University 30%, draw 25%, Tokyo 23 FC 45%.

How many goals are expected in Toin Yokohama University vs Tokyo 23 FC?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Toin Yokohama University 1.37 · Tokyo 23 FC 1.71), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Toin Yokohama University vs Tokyo 23 FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.