Football · Japan Regional League · 27/09, 03:30

Prediction: Tadotsu FC vs MSP Yashima FC

Team pages: Tadotsu FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.37Total
Tadotsu FC2.36
MSP Yashima FC1.01
1X2
67% 19% 14%
Tadotsu FC Draw MSP Yashima FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Tadotsu FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
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MSP Yashima FC 0-0-10 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tadotsu FC 1457 · MSP Yashima FC 1369
Tadotsu FCDrawMSP Yashima FC
Our model66%20%14%
Market67%19%14%
Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tadotsu FC (rating 1457 vs 1369).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Tadotsu FCMSP Yashima FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.90.6 / 3.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.10.3 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/80/20%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.70.4 / 1.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.7 / 0.12.2 / 0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTadotsu FCMSP Yashima FC
SONIO Takamatsu 0-4 L 0-10 L
KUFC Nankoku 3-1 W 1-3 L
FC Tokushima 1-2 L 0-7 L
Lavenirosso NC 1-2 L 2-3 L
Llamas Kochi FC 2-2 D 1-2 L
R Velho Takamatsu 1-0 W 1-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 0 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Tadotsu FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tadotsu FC

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 SONIO Takamatsu
Japan Regional League
0-2 0-4 31 L
06/09 KUFC Nankoku
Japan Regional League
1-1 3-1 43 W
23/08 FC Tokushima
Japan Regional League
1-1 1-2 23 L
19/07 Lavenirosso NC
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-2 41 L
12/07 Llamas Kochi FC
Japan Regional League
1-1 2-2 –– D
05/07 R Velho Takamatsu
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-0 30 W
07/06 SONIO Takamatsu
Japan Regional League
1-1 1-2 23 L
03/05 FC Tokushima
Japan Regional League
0-3 0-3 22 L
12/04 Llamas Kochi FC
Japan Regional League
1-1 1-1 61 D
05/04 R Velho Takamatsu
Japan Regional League
1-1 1-2 72 L

MSP Yashima FC

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 KUFC Nankoku
Japan Regional League
0-1 1-3 23 L
30/08 Lavenirosso NC
Japan Regional League
2-1 2-3 32 L
19/07 R Velho Takamatsu
Japan Regional League
1-1 1-3 12 L
12/07 FC Tokushima
Japan Regional League
0-2 0-7 –– L
05/07 SONIO Takamatsu
Japan Regional League
0-5 0-10 04 L
07/06 KUFC Nankoku
Japan Regional League
0-3 0-3 13 L
31/05 Llamas Kochi FC
Japan Regional League
0-2 1-2 53 L
03/05 Lavenirosso NC
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-1 31 L
19/04 R Velho Takamatsu
Japan Regional League
0-2 1-2 10 L
05/04 SONIO Takamatsu
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-4 02 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tadotsu FC vs MSP Yashima FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tadotsu FC win (67%). Probabilities: Tadotsu FC 67%, draw 19%, MSP Yashima FC 14%.

How many goals are expected in Tadotsu FC vs MSP Yashima FC?

The model expects 3.37 goals (Tadotsu FC 2.36 · MSP Yashima FC 1.01), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tadotsu FC vs MSP Yashima FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.