Prediction: Nihon University vs Aries Toshima FC
Team pages: Nihon University · Aries Toshima FC
- Aries Toshima FC4-1Nihon University
- Nihon University1-0Aries Toshima FC
- Aries Toshima FC0-3Nihon University
| Nihon University | Draw | Aries Toshima FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 26% | 45% |
| Market | 30% | 25% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aries Toshima FC (rating 1457 vs 1560).
- H2H favours Nihon University: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nihon University | Aries Toshima FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2 | 1.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.8 | 1.4 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nihon University 2–0–1 Aries Toshima FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 Japan Regional League | Aries Toshima FC | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Nihon University |
| 14/09/25 Japan Regional League | Nihon University | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Aries Toshima FC |
| 07/06/25 Japan Regional League | Aries Toshima FC | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Nihon University |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nihon University | Aries Toshima FC |
|---|---|---|
| Toin Yokohama University | 6-0 W | 0-0 D |
| EDO ALL United | 2-5 L | 3-1 W |
| Shibuya City FC | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Nankatsu SC | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Ryutsu Keizai Dragons | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Toho Titanium | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Aries Toshima FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nihon University
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Tokyo United FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | EDO ALL United Japan Regional League |
0-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Shibuya City FC Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Nankatsu SC Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 19/07 | Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/07 | Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 17/06 | Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 07/06 | Toho Titanium Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
Aries Toshima FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 13/09 | EDO ALL United Japan Regional League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 06/09 | Nankatsu SC Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Shibuya City FC Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/07 | Toho Titanium Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/07 | Nihon University Japan Regional League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 07/06 | EDO ALL United Japan Regional League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Nankatsu SC Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nihon University vs Aries Toshima FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Aries Toshima FC win (45%). Probabilities: Nihon University 30%, draw 25%, Aries Toshima FC 45%.
How many goals are expected in Nihon University vs Aries Toshima FC?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Nihon University 1.35 · Aries Toshima FC 1.7), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Nihon University vs Aries Toshima FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.