Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 06/10, 19:00

Prediction: Fenix vs CA Atlas

Team pages: Fenix · CA Atlas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.81Total

Fenix0.87

CA Atlas0.94

1X2

32% 32% 35%

Fenix Draw CA Atlas

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Fenix 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDWDDLLDWL

CA Atlas 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWWLDLLD

Head-to-head

Fenix 0–1–0 CA Atlas (1 last)

CA Atlas1-1Fenix

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fenix 1485 · CA Atlas 1477

	Fenix	Draw	CA Atlas
Our model	31%	35%	34%
Market	33%	30%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 1.81 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fenix	CA Atlas
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.4	2.6 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	5.7 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.00

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 22.00

Under 21.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 1.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:09 +1’	2.70	3.00	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fenix 0–1–0 CA Atlas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	CA Atlas	1-1 HT 1-1	Fenix

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	31	18	7	6	45	22	61
2	Canuelas FC	30	16	9	5	38	21	57
3	Central Cordoba de Rosario	31	13	10	8	32	22	49
4	Deportivo Espanol	30	11	15	4	24	15	48
5	Leones de Rosario	31	12	12	7	29	24	48
6	General Lamadrid	31	9	13	9	23	27	40
7	Sportivo Barracas	31	11	6	14	32	32	39
8	Central Ballester	30	10	8	12	28	28	38
9	CA Atlas	30	9	10	11	23	26	37
10	El Porvenir	30	7	15	8	25	30	36
11	Yupanqui	31	8	11	12	33	35	35
12	CA Claypole	30	8	8	14	24	38	32
13	Fenix	30	7	10	13	22	30	31
14	Deportivo Muniz	30	5	11	14	20	35	26

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fenix	CA Atlas
Canuelas FC	1-2 L	2-0 W
Deportivo Muniz	1-0 W	1-1 D
Berazategui	2-2 D	0-2 L
Yupanqui	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fenix

DDWDDLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	1	5	L
21/09	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
14/09	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
06/09	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
31/08	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
24/08	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
16/08	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
10/08	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-1	3	2	W
04/08	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
27/07	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	7	3	D

CA Atlas

DLWWWLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	10	8	D
19/09	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
12/09	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	11	7	L
06/09	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
31/08	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
22/08	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	4	9	W
16/08	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
09/08	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	1	6	W
04/08	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	8	9	L
30/07	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	7	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fenix vs CA Atlas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CA Atlas win (35%). Probabilities: Fenix 32%, draw 32%, CA Atlas 35%.

How many goals are expected in Fenix vs CA Atlas?

The model expects 1.81 goals (Fenix 0.87 · CA Atlas 0.94), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Fenix vs CA Atlas?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.