Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 06/10, 19:00

Prediction: Club Leandro N. Alem vs Centro Espanol

Team pages: Club Leandro N. Alem · Centro Espanol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

Club Leandro N. Alem0.6

Centro Espanol1.76

1X2

12% 24% 65%

Club Leandro N. Alem Draw Centro Espanol

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-1 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Leandro N. Alem 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLDLW

Centro Espanol 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LDWDWDDDLW

Head-to-head

Club Leandro N. Alem 3–1–1 Centro Espanol (5 last)

Centro Espanol3-0Club Leandro N. Alem
Centro Espanol1-1Club Leandro N. Alem
Club Leandro N. Alem1-0Centro Espanol
Centro Espanol0-2Club Leandro N. Alem
Club Leandro N. Alem2-0Centro Espanol

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Leandro N. Alem 1420 · Centro Espanol 1523

	Club Leandro N. Alem	Draw	Centro Espanol
Our model	11%	24%	64%
Market	12%	23%	65%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Centro Espanol (rating 1420 vs 1523).
H2H favours Club Leandro N. Alem: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Leandro N. Alem	Centro Espanol
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.8	1.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.5	1.1 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.6	5.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

17.50

X3.90

21.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.85

2 (-1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.38 → 1.38	Bet365 1.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
20:07 +3’	7.50	3.90	1.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Leandro N. Alem 3–1–1 Centro Espanol

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Centro Espanol	3-0 HT 2-0	Club Leandro N. Alem
13/08/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Centro Espanol	1-1 HT 0-0	Club Leandro N. Alem
23/03/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Club Leandro N. Alem	1-0 HT 0-0	Centro Espanol
16/05/17 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Centro Espanol	0-2 HT 0-0	Club Leandro N. Alem
06/11/16 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Club Leandro N. Alem	2-0 HT 1-0	Centro Espanol

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Berazategui	31	12	12	7	37	24	48
2	Sacachispas	31	13	8	10	32	26	47
3	CA Lugano	31	11	13	7	35	28	46
4	Juventud Unida San Miguel	31	12	9	10	38	31	45
5	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	31	11	12	8	31	29	45
6	Centro Espanol	30	11	11	8	37	27	44
7	Victoriano Arenas	31	10	14	7	24	19	44
8	Club Mercedes	30	11	10	9	29	23	43
9	Puerto Nuevo	31	9	11	11	28	35	38
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	31	9	9	13	25	31	36
11	JJ Urquiza	31	6	14	11	19	26	32
12	Deportivo Paraguayo	30	7	10	13	22	38	31
13	Club Leandro N. Alem	30	8	7	15	29	51	31
14	Argentino de Rosario	31	4	15	12	30	41	27

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Leandro N. Alem	Centro Espanol
Juventud Unida San Miguel	1-2 L	0-2 L
Defensores de Cambaceres	0-2 L	2-0 W
Sacachispas	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Leandro N. Alem

DLLLLLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	6	8	W
20/09	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
12/09	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
06/09	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	1-4	4	6	L
30/08	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-3	5	4	L
25/08	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	5	0	L
22/08	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
15/08	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-3	4	8	L
08/08	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
27/07	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	6	7	D

Centro Espanol

LDWDWDDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
19/09	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	7	2	L
14/09	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
05/09	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	2	10	D
30/08	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
24/08	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	0	6	W
17/08	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
08/08	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
04/08	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
31/07	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Leandro N. Alem vs Centro Espanol?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Centro Espanol win (65%). Probabilities: Club Leandro N. Alem 12%, draw 24%, Centro Espanol 65%.

How many goals are expected in Club Leandro N. Alem vs Centro Espanol?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Club Leandro N. Alem 0.6 · Centro Espanol 1.76), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Leandro N. Alem vs Centro Espanol?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.