Football · Italy Serie D · 24/10, 14:30

Prediction: Monastir Kosmoto vs ASD Trastevere

Team pages: Monastir Kosmoto · ASD Trastevere

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Monastir Kosmoto1.95

ASD Trastevere1.29

1X2

51% 25% 24%

Monastir Kosmoto Draw ASD Trastevere

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Monastir Kosmoto 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWDWWL

ASD Trastevere 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWDLWDLW

Head-to-head

Monastir Kosmoto 1–1–1 ASD Trastevere (3 last)

ASD Trastevere0-1Monastir Kosmoto
Monastir Kosmoto2-2ASD Trastevere
ASD Trastevere4-1Monastir Kosmoto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Monastir Kosmoto 1546 · ASD Trastevere 1492

	Monastir Kosmoto	Draw	ASD Trastevere
Our model	52%	24%	24%
Market	51%	26%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monastir Kosmoto (rating 1546 vs 1492).
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Monastir Kosmoto	ASD Trastevere
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.3	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/67/0%	29/43/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.8	3.6 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	3.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.50

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
10:57 +18’	1.75	3.50	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Monastir Kosmoto 1–1–1 ASD Trastevere

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Italy Serie D	ASD Trastevere	0-1	Monastir Kosmoto
12/04/26 Italy Serie D	Monastir Kosmoto	2-2 HT 1-0	ASD Trastevere
29/11/25 Italy Serie D	ASD Trastevere	4-1 HT 2-0	Monastir Kosmoto

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Reggina	8	6	1	1	18	3	19
2	Sambiase	8	5	2	1	12	6	17
3	Calcio Avola 1949	8	5	1	2	12	11	16
4	Vibonese	8	4	3	1	17	7	15
5	Igea Virtus	8	4	2	2	19	15	14
6	ASD Licata	7	4	2	1	10	9	14
7	Milazzo	8	4	1	3	9	10	13
8	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora	8	3	3	2	14	8	12
9	Nissa FC	8	2	3	3	11	12	9
10	SSD Athletic Club Palermo	7	2	2	3	10	10	8
11	Vigor Lamezia	8	2	2	4	10	16	8
12	Siracusa	7	4	2	1	11	5	7
13	Modica	7	2	1	4	7	10	7
14	ASD CastrumFavara	8	2	1	5	8	10	7
15	Città di Gela	8	1	4	3	6	8	6
16	Trapani	8	3	0	5	4	11	4
17	ASD Ragusa	8	0	3	5	6	13	3
18	Enna Calcio	8	0	1	7	0	20	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Monastir Kosmoto	ASD Trastevere
ASD Aranova	2-1 W	0-2 L
Anzio Calcio 1924	1-3 L	0-2 L
Atletico Lodigiani	5-1 W	3-2 W
Sarrabus Ogliastra	2-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Monastir Kosmoto (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Monastir Kosmoto

WWWWLWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Certosa Vigor Campagnano Italy Serie D	–	2-3	–	–	L
11/10	USD Latte Dolce Italy Serie D	2-1	2-1	3	2	W
04/10	Budoni Italy Serie D	–	5-1	–	–	W
27/09	Cynthialbalonga Italy Serie D	1-1	2-2	6	2	D
20/09	ASD Aranova Italy Serie D	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
16/09	Anzio Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D	1-1	1-3	6	5	L
12/09	Atletico Lodigiani Italy Serie D	2-0	5-1	4	5	W
06/09	Sarrabus Ogliastra Italy Serie D	–	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	ASD Trastevere Italy Serie D	–	1-0	–	–	W
02/05	US Palmese 1914 Italy Serie D	0-0	2-0	6	3	W

ASD Trastevere

LLWWDLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Sarrabus Ogliastra Italy Serie D	1-0	3-2	4	5	W
11/10	ASD Aranova Italy Serie D	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
04/10	Citta di Anagni Italy Serie D	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
27/09	Atletico Lodigiani Italy Serie D	0-1	3-2	7	2	W
20/09	Paganese Italy Serie D	1-4	1-6	8	1	L
16/09	Polisportiva Ossese Italy Serie D	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
13/09	Gelbison Italy Serie D	2-0	2-1	8	6	W
06/09	US Venafro Italy Serie D	–	1-0	–	–	W
16/05	Monastir Kosmoto Italy Serie D	–	0-1	–	–	L
03/05	Anzio Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D	–	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Monastir Kosmoto vs ASD Trastevere?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Monastir Kosmoto win (51%). Probabilities: Monastir Kosmoto 51%, draw 25%, ASD Trastevere 24%.

How many goals are expected in Monastir Kosmoto vs ASD Trastevere?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Monastir Kosmoto 1.95 · ASD Trastevere 1.29), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Monastir Kosmoto vs ASD Trastevere?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.