Football · Italy Serie D · 24/10, 14:30

Prediction: Scanzorosciate vs ASD Villa D'Alme

Team pages: Scanzorosciate · ASD Villa D'Alme

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.1Total

Scanzorosciate1.04

ASD Villa D'Alme1.07

1X2

34% 31% 35%

Scanzorosciate Draw ASD Villa D'Alme

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Scanzorosciate 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDWDLLDLWD

ASD Villa D'Alme 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLDDDLWDWW

Head-to-head

Scanzorosciate 2–3–1 ASD Villa D'Alme (6 last)

ASD Villa D'Alme1-1Scanzorosciate
Scanzorosciate2-2ASD Villa D'Alme
ASD Villa D'Alme1-2Scanzorosciate
Scanzorosciate2-4ASD Villa D'Alme
ASD Villa D'Alme1-1Scanzorosciate
ASD Villa D'Alme2-3Scanzorosciate

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Scanzorosciate 1466 · ASD Villa D'Alme 1520

	Scanzorosciate	Draw	ASD Villa D'Alme
Our model	33%	33%	34%
Market	34%	30%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASD Villa D'Alme (rating 1466 vs 1520).
H2H favours Scanzorosciate: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Scanzorosciate	ASD Villa D'Alme
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.3	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	14/71/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.4	3.3 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.00

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:19 +4’	2.60	3.00	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Scanzorosciate 2–3–1 ASD Villa D'Alme

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Italy Serie D	ASD Villa D'Alme	1-1 HT 0-1	Scanzorosciate
05/10/25 Italy Serie D	Scanzorosciate	2-2	ASD Villa D'Alme
07/03/21 Italy Serie D	ASD Villa D'Alme	1-2	Scanzorosciate
18/10/20 Italy Serie D	Scanzorosciate	2-4 HT 0-3	ASD Villa D'Alme
08/12/19 Italy Serie D	ASD Villa D'Alme	1-1	Scanzorosciate
28/04/19 Italy Serie D	ASD Villa D'Alme	2-3 HT 2-1	Scanzorosciate

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Reggina	8	6	1	1	18	3	19
2	Sambiase	8	5	2	1	12	6	17
3	Calcio Avola 1949	8	5	1	2	12	11	16
4	Vibonese	8	4	3	1	17	7	15
5	Igea Virtus	8	4	2	2	19	15	14
6	ASD Licata	7	4	2	1	10	9	14
7	Milazzo	8	4	1	3	9	10	13
8	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora	8	3	3	2	14	8	12
9	Nissa FC	8	2	3	3	11	12	9
10	SSD Athletic Club Palermo	7	2	2	3	10	10	8
11	Vigor Lamezia	8	2	2	4	10	16	8
12	Siracusa	7	4	2	1	11	5	7
13	Modica	7	2	1	4	7	10	7
14	ASD CastrumFavara	8	2	1	5	8	10	7
15	Città di Gela	8	1	4	3	6	8	6
16	Trapani	8	3	0	5	4	11	4
17	ASD Ragusa	8	0	3	5	6	13	3
18	Enna Calcio	8	0	1	7	0	20	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Scanzorosciate	ASD Villa D'Alme
Pro Palazzo	1-1 D	1-0 W
Real Calepina FC	0-0 D	3-0 W
US Fiorenzuola	3-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: ASD Villa D'Alme (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Scanzorosciate

LDWDLLDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Rovato Vertovese SSD Italy Serie D	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
11/10	ASD Brusaporto Italy Serie D	0-0	1-0	1	8	W
04/10	Piacenza Italy Serie D	0-1	0-4	3	4	L
27/09	Pro Palazzo Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/09	ASD Caldiero Terme Italy Serie D	–	0-1	–	–	L
16/09	ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone Italy Serie D	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	Real Calepina FC Italy Serie D	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
06/09	US Fiorenzuola Italy Serie D	–	3-0	–	–	W
03/05	Real Calepina FC Italy Serie D	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
26/04	USD Casatese Italy Serie D	–	0-3	–	–	L

ASD Villa D'Alme

LLDDDLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Pro Palazzo Italy Serie D	1-0	1-0	5	0	W
11/10	Real Calepina FC Italy Serie D	–	3-0	–	–	W
04/10	US Fiorenzuola Italy Serie D	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
27/09	AC Leon Monza Brianza Italy Serie D	1-1	2-1	3	7	W
20/09	AC Milan U23 Italy Serie D	0-0	1-2	11	6	L
16/09	Tritium Italy Serie D	0-1	1-1	6	9	D
12/09	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Italy Serie D	0-0	0-0	10	2	D
06/09	Virtus Verona Italy Serie D	–	2-2	–	–	D
03/05	US Breno Italy Serie D	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/04	Oltrepò Italy Serie D	0-0	1-3	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Scanzorosciate vs ASD Villa D'Alme?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ASD Villa D'Alme win (35%). Probabilities: Scanzorosciate 34%, draw 31%, ASD Villa D'Alme 35%.

How many goals are expected in Scanzorosciate vs ASD Villa D'Alme?

The model expects 2.1 goals (Scanzorosciate 1.04 · ASD Villa D'Alme 1.07), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Scanzorosciate vs ASD Villa D'Alme?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.