Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 26/09, 22:00

Prediction: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Argentino de Rosario

Team pages: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn · Argentino de Rosario

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.99Total

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn1.37

Argentino de Rosario0.62

1X2

55% 29% 16%

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Draw Argentino de Rosario

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLDLDD

Argentino de Rosario 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DDLWLLDDLD

Head-to-head

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1–2–0 Argentino de Rosario (3 last)

Argentino de Rosario1-1Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn0-0Argentino de Rosario
Argentino de Rosario1-2Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1494 · Argentino de Rosario 1467

	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	Draw	Argentino de Rosario
Our model	54%	30%	16%
Market	55%	28%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 1.99 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	Argentino de Rosario
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.1	0.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.1	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/80/0%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.4	2.3 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.7	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.20

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 01:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.61▼	Bet365 1.61
X	3.10 → 3.20▲	Bet365 3.20
2	4.50 → 5.25▲	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:16 +14’	1.70	3.10	4.50
22:22 +19’	1.50▼	3.30▲	6.25▲
01:23 +2’	1.61▲	3.20▼	5.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1–2–0 Argentino de Rosario

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Argentino de Rosario	1-1 HT 0-1	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
14/07/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	0-0 HT 0-0	Argentino de Rosario
29/03/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Argentino de Rosario	1-2 HT 0-0	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sacachispas	29	13	7	9	32	23	46
2	Berazategui	29	11	12	6	32	21	45
3	CA Lugano	29	11	12	6	32	24	45
4	Centro Espanol	29	10	11	8	35	27	41
5	Juventud Unida San Miguel	29	11	8	10	34	28	41
6	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	29	10	11	8	29	28	41
7	Club Mercedes	29	10	10	9	28	23	40
8	Victoriano Arenas	29	9	13	7	22	18	40
9	Puerto Nuevo	29	9	11	9	27	30	38
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	29	9	9	11	25	28	36
11	Deportivo Paraguayo	29	7	9	13	21	37	30
12	JJ Urquiza	29	5	14	10	14	23	29
13	Club Leandro N. Alem	29	7	7	15	27	50	28
14	Argentino de Rosario	29	3	15	11	26	37	24

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	Argentino de Rosario
Yupanqui	1-1 D	1-1 D
Berazategui	0-2 L	1-1 D
Victoriano Arenas	1-1 D	1-1 D
Centro Espanol	0-2 L	1-1 D
JJ Urquiza	1-0 W	1-2 L
Club Mercedes	1-1 D	2-0 W
Deportivo Paraguayo	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Argentino de Rosario (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

WDLWWLDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	6	7	D
12/09	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
06/09	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	3	7	L
30/08	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
24/08	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
15/08	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	2-1	3	10	W
08/08	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
04/08	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	1	5	L
31/07	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	6	9	D
25/07	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	6	W

Argentino de Rosario

DDLWLLDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
13/09	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-3	1	7	L
05/09	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
30/08	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	6	3	D
22/08	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	1	1	L
16/08	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
08/08	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
31/07	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
23/07	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
17/07	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Argentino de Rosario?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn win (55%). Probabilities: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 55%, draw 29%, Argentino de Rosario 16%.

How many goals are expected in Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Argentino de Rosario?

The model expects 1.99 goals (Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1.37 · Argentino de Rosario 0.62), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Argentino de Rosario?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.