Football · Mexico Liga TDP · 25/09, 19:00

Prediction: Valle de Xico FC vs Halcones Zuñiga SC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
Valle de Xico FC2.38
Halcones Zuñiga SC0.89
1X2
70% 17% 12%
Valle de Xico FC Draw Halcones Zuñiga SC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Valle de Xico FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWDWDWWL
Halcones Zuñiga SC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
WDDLLLDLLL
Head-to-head
Valle de Xico FC 2–1 Halcones Zuñiga SC (3 last)
  • Halcones Zuñiga SC0-3Valle de Xico FC
  • Valle de Xico FC3-1Halcones Zuñiga SC
  • Halcones Zuñiga SC2-1Valle de Xico FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valle de Xico FC 1546 · Halcones Zuñiga SC 1423
Valle de Xico FCDrawHalcones Zuñiga SC
Our model70%19%12%
Market71%16%13%
Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valle de Xico FC (rating 1546 vs 1423).
  • H2H favours Valle de Xico FC: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Valle de Xico FCHalcones Zuñiga SC
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 10.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.60.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 61.1 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.32.8 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Valle de Xico FC 201 Halcones Zuñiga SC

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/12/25
Mexico Liga TDP
Halcones Zuñiga SC0-3
HT 0-1
Valle de Xico FC
21/02/25
Mexico Liga TDP
Valle de Xico FC3-1
HT 1-0
Halcones Zuñiga SC
11/10/24
Mexico Liga TDP
Halcones Zuñiga SC2-1
HT 1-1
Valle de Xico FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentValle de Xico FCHalcones Zuñiga SC
Arietes FC 4-2 W 0-0 D
CD Halcones de Rayón 1-0 W 0-3 L
CD Novillos Neza 2-1 W 1-3 L
Atletico Inter Capital 1-1 D 1-2 L
CDC Dominguez Osos 2-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Valle de Xico FC (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valle de Xico FC

LWWWDWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/04 Orishas Tepeji FC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-3 1-4 23 L
20/03 Arietes FC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 4-2 53 W
13/03 CD Halcones de Rayón
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 1-0 102 W
27/02 Irapuato Olimpo
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 1-1 63 D
20/02 CD Novillos Neza
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 2-1 53 W
17/02 Atletico Inter Capital
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 1-1 94 D
13/02 CDC Dominguez Osos
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 2-0 21 W
23/01 FC San José del Arenal
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 1-0 85 W
05/12 Halcones Zuñiga SC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 3-0 72 W
02/12 Atletico Inter Capital
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-1 64 L

Halcones Zuñiga SC

WDDLLLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/03 Azucareros de Tezonapa
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-4 11 L
26/02 CD Novillos Neza
Mexico Liga TDP
0-2 1-3 23 L
13/02 FC Politécnico
Mexico Liga TDP
0-3 0-4 03 L
06/02 Arietes FC
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-0 53 D
30/01 CD Halcones de Rayón
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 0-3 65 L
05/12 Valle de Xico FC
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 0-3 32 L
30/11 Atletico Inter Capital
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 1-2 45 L
21/11 CDC Dominguez Osos
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 1-1 33 D
18/11 Cilesi FC
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 1-1 43 D
12/11 Atlético Pachuca
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 1-0 85 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valle de Xico FC vs Halcones Zuñiga SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Valle de Xico FC win (70%). Probabilities: Valle de Xico FC 70%, draw 17%, Halcones Zuñiga SC 12%.

How many goals are expected in Valle de Xico FC vs Halcones Zuñiga SC?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Valle de Xico FC 2.38 · Halcones Zuñiga SC 0.89), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Valle de Xico FC vs Halcones Zuñiga SC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.