Football · Mexico Liga TDP · 27/09, 23:00

Prediction: CEFOR Chiapas vs Jaguares de Chiapas FC II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
CEFOR Chiapas1.7
Jaguares de Chiapas FC II1.38
1X2
44% 25% 30%
CEFOR Chiapas Draw Jaguares de Chiapas FC II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
CEFOR Chiapas 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WDWWLWWDLL
Jaguares de Chiapas FC II 0-3-7 (W-D-L)
LDLLLLLLDD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CEFOR Chiapas 1511 · Jaguares de Chiapas FC II 1412
CEFOR ChiapasDrawJaguares de Chiapas FC II
Our model44%26%30%
Market45%25%31%
Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CEFOR Chiapas (rating 1511 vs 1412).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CEFOR ChiapasJaguares de Chiapas FC II
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.90.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.70.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%11/56/33%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.22.7 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.43.2 / 0.1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCEFOR ChiapasJaguares de Chiapas FC II
Águilas UAGro 3-5 L 1-3 L
Oaxaca II 1-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CEFOR Chiapas (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CEFOR Chiapas

WDWWLWWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Academia Dragones FC
Mexico Liga TDP
2-3 2-5 23 L
25/04 Águilas UAGro
Mexico Liga TDP
2-1 3-5 15 L
22/04 Águilas UAGro
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 1-1 63 D
29/03 Felinos 48 AC
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 3-1 30 W
08/03 Oaxaca II
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 1-0 14 W
22/02 Artesanos Bajos De Chila
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 0-4 41 L
15/02 Academia Dragones FC
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 3-1 112 W
08/02 Pro Training Camp FC
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 1-0 74 W
01/02 Lechuzas UPGCH
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 1-1 410 D
18/01 Dragones de Oaxaca II
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 2-1 33 W

Jaguares de Chiapas FC II

LDLLLLLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/03 Oaxaca II
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 1-1 210 D
02/03 Iguala FC
Mexico Liga TDP
– 0-0 –– D
18/02 Atletico Real Morelos
Mexico Liga TDP
0-2 0-3 43 L
02/02 Deportivo Yautepec FC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 1-2 15 L
23/01 Águilas UAGro
Mexico Liga TDP
1-3 1-3 33 L
19/01 Selva Cañera
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-1 73 L
08/12 Cantera Coka
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-2 31 L
24/11 Mineros Zacatecas CDMX
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 0-1 110 L
10/11 Atlético Cuernavaca
Mexico Liga TDP
2-1 2-2 82 D
05/11 Oaxaca II
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 1-3 63 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CEFOR Chiapas vs Jaguares de Chiapas FC II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CEFOR Chiapas win (44%). Probabilities: CEFOR Chiapas 44%, draw 25%, Jaguares de Chiapas FC II 30%.

How many goals are expected in CEFOR Chiapas vs Jaguares de Chiapas FC II?

The model expects 3.09 goals (CEFOR Chiapas 1.7 · Jaguares de Chiapas FC II 1.38), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CEFOR Chiapas vs Jaguares de Chiapas FC II?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.