Football · Mexico Liga TDP · 26/09, 23:00
Prediction: PDLA FC vs Deportivo Yautepec FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
PDLA FC1.12
Deportivo Yautepec FC2.15
1X2
PDLA FC
Draw
Deportivo Yautepec FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
PDLA FC
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Yautepec FC
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · PDLA FC 1518 · Deportivo Yautepec FC 1586
| PDLA FC | Draw | Deportivo Yautepec FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| Market | 18% | 22% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Yautepec FC (rating 1518 vs 1586).
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PDLA FC | Deportivo Yautepec FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.3 | 2.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.5 | 2.3 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.4 | 3.7 / 0.9 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PDLA FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04 | CD Muxes Mexico Liga TDP |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 23/04 | CD Muxes Mexico Liga TDP |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | Tlapa Mazatecochco Mexico Liga TDP |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/03 | Orgullo Surtam Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 06/12 | Liga de Fútbol de Tehuacán Mexico Liga TDP |
1-3 | 2-3 | 22 | 6 | L |
| 28/11 | CS Atletico Tulancingo Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/11 | Tlapa Mazatecochco Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 09/11 | Orgullo Surtam Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/11 | Licantropos Mexico Liga TDP |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/10 | Cafeteros de Atlixco Mexico Liga TDP |
3-1 | 4-3 | 4 | 9 | W |
Deportivo Yautepec FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04 | Atlético Cuernavaca Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 18/03 | Águilas UAGro Mexico Liga TDP |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 14/03 | Atlético Cuernavaca Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 07/03 | Oaxaca II Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 08/02 | Colegio Once México Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 02/02 | Jaguares de Chiapas FC II Mexico Liga TDP |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 07/12 | Selva Cañera Mexico Liga TDP |
4-0 | 8-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 23/11 | Caudillos De Morelos FC Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 16/11 | Mineros Zacatecas CDMX Mexico Liga TDP |
3-1 | 6-2 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 05/11 | Atlético Cuernavaca Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PDLA FC vs Deportivo Yautepec FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Yautepec FC win (60%). Probabilities: PDLA FC 18%, draw 22%, Deportivo Yautepec FC 60%.
How many goals are expected in PDLA FC vs Deportivo Yautepec FC?
The model expects 3.27 goals (PDLA FC 1.12 · Deportivo Yautepec FC 2.15), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in PDLA FC vs Deportivo Yautepec FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.