Football · Mexico Liga TDP · 04/10, 00:00

Prediction: Jaguares de Chiapas FC II vs UDS

Team pages: Jaguares de Chiapas FC II · UDS

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Jaguares de Chiapas FC II0.95
UDS1.62
1X2
22% 25% 53%
Jaguares de Chiapas FC II Draw UDS
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Jaguares de Chiapas FC II 0-4-6 (W-D-L)
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UDS 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jaguares de Chiapas FC II 1416 · UDS 1475
Jaguares de Chiapas FC IIDrawUDS
Our model21%27%52%
Market23%23%54%
Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UDS (rating 1416 vs 1475).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Jaguares de Chiapas FC IIUDS
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.60.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.10.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)11/44/44%22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.71.6 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.14.1 / 0.4

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jaguares de Chiapas FC II

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 CEFOR Chiapas
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 1-1 34 D
16/03 Oaxaca II
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 1-1 210 D
02/03 Iguala FC
Mexico Liga TDP
– 0-0 –– D
18/02 Atletico Real Morelos
Mexico Liga TDP
0-2 0-3 43 L
02/02 Deportivo Yautepec FC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 1-2 15 L
23/01 Águilas UAGro
Mexico Liga TDP
1-3 1-3 33 L
19/01 Selva Cañera
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-1 73 L
08/12 Cantera Coka
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-2 31 L
24/11 Mineros Zacatecas CDMX
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 0-1 110 L
10/11 Atlético Cuernavaca
Mexico Liga TDP
2-1 2-2 82 D

UDS

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Academia Dragones FC
Mexico Liga TDP
– 0-0 –– D
12/09 Pavones ADMC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 2-1 48 W
06/03 Academia Dragones FC
Mexico Liga TDP
3-0 4-0 63 W
01/03 Pro Training Camp FC
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-4 35 L
13/02 Dragones de Oaxaca II
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-1 23 L
30/01 Tapachula Soconusco FC II
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-0 65 D
07/12 Pavones ADMC
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-0 42 D
22/11 Oaxaca II
Mexico Liga TDP
0-2 0-6 21 L
04/11 Chapulineros de Oaxaca II
Mexico Liga TDP
0-2 0-3 97 L
31/10 Academia Dragones FC
Mexico Liga TDP
2-0 2-1 17 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jaguares de Chiapas FC II vs UDS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an UDS win (53%). Probabilities: Jaguares de Chiapas FC II 22%, draw 25%, UDS 53%.

How many goals are expected in Jaguares de Chiapas FC II vs UDS?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Jaguares de Chiapas FC II 0.95 · UDS 1.62), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Jaguares de Chiapas FC II vs UDS?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.