Football · Mexico Liga TDP · 25/09, 18:00
Prediction: Correcaminos III vs Fut-Car
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Correcaminos III1.81
Fut-Car1.17
1X2
Correcaminos III
Draw
Fut-Car
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Correcaminos III
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Fut-Car
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Correcaminos III 1523 · Fut-Car 1568
| Correcaminos III | Draw | Fut-Car | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 53% | 22% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fut-Car (rating 1523 vs 1568).
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Correcaminos III | Fut-Car | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.1 | 2.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 1.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 80/20/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.1 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Correcaminos III
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Real San Cosme Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/09 | CF Cadereyta Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 27/03 | CF Gallos Nuevo León Mexico Liga TDP |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 13/03 | Club Calor II Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 27/02 | Real Apodaca FC II Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 22/02 | Irritilas FC Mexico Liga TDP |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/01 | Guerreros Reynosa FC Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 16/01 | Real San Cosme Mexico Liga TDP |
3-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/10 | Real Apodaca FC II Mexico Liga TDP |
0-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Irritilas FC Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
Fut-Car
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05 | Tepatitlan FC II Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Club Gallos Viejos Mexico Liga TDP |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | CD Queretaro 3D Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 21/02 | Pabellón FC Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 31/01 | Cefor Promotora San Luis Mexico Liga TDP |
4-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/01 | Potosinos Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/01 | Santa Ana del Conde Mexico Liga TDP |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/11 | Magos Union Deportiva Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/11 | Atlético Leonés Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 19/10 | Pabellón FC Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Correcaminos III vs Fut-Car?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Correcaminos III win (52%). Probabilities: Correcaminos III 52%, draw 24%, Fut-Car 24%.
How many goals are expected in Correcaminos III vs Fut-Car?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Correcaminos III 1.81 · Fut-Car 1.17), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Correcaminos III vs Fut-Car?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.