Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 23/09, 18:00
Prediction: Hapoel Marmorek vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
Team pages: Hapoel Marmorek · Shimshon Tel Aviv
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Hapoel Marmorek0.81
Shimshon Tel Aviv1.61
1X2
Hapoel Marmorek
Draw
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Marmorek
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Shimshon Tel Aviv
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Marmorek
0–4–2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
(6 last)
- Shimshon Tel Aviv3-2Hapoel Marmorek
- Shimshon Tel Aviv1-1Hapoel Marmorek
- Hapoel Marmorek0-0Shimshon Tel Aviv
- Hapoel Marmorek0-0Shimshon Tel Aviv
- Shimshon Tel Aviv0-0Hapoel Marmorek
- Shimshon Tel Aviv1-0Hapoel Marmorek
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Marmorek 1507 · Shimshon Tel Aviv 1522
| Hapoel Marmorek | Draw | Shimshon Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 27% | 55% |
| Market | 18% | 26% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Shimshon Tel Aviv: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Marmorek | Shimshon Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.1 | 2.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.6 | 5.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Marmorek 0–4–2 Shimshon Tel Aviv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/25 Israel Liga Alef South | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Hapoel Marmorek |
| 30/01/25 Israel Liga Alef South | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Hapoel Marmorek |
| 27/09/24 Israel Liga Alef South | Hapoel Marmorek | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shimshon Tel Aviv |
| 03/05/24 Israel Liga Alef South | Hapoel Marmorek | 0-0 | Shimshon Tel Aviv |
| 10/02/24 Israel Liga Alef South | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Marmorek |
| 26/01/23 Israel Liga Alef South | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Marmorek |
Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Club Dimona | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | MS Jerusalem | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Hapoel Herzliya | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Maccabi Ironi Sderot | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Maccabi Yavne | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Hapoel Hadera | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Kfar Saba 1928 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Hapoel Marmorek | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Hapoel Azor | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 15 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 16 | Ironi Beit Shemesh | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | AS Nordia Jerusalem | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 | Tzeirey Tira | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Marmorek | Shimshon Tel Aviv |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon | 0-1 L | 4-2 W |
| Hapoel Holon Yaniv | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Hapoel Hadera | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Shimshon Tel Aviv (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Marmorek
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 09/09 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 04/09 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 27/02 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 20/02 | Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 13/02 | Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 05/02 | FC Beitar Yavne Israel Liga Alef South |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 30/01 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 23/01 | Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 16/01 | MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
Shimshon Tel Aviv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/09 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 03/09 | Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 26/02 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/02 | Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 12/02 | Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 05/02 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 31/01 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 23/01 | Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 17/01 | AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Marmorek vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shimshon Tel Aviv win (55%). Probabilities: Hapoel Marmorek 18%, draw 27%, Shimshon Tel Aviv 55%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Marmorek vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Hapoel Marmorek 0.81 · Shimshon Tel Aviv 1.61), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Marmorek vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.