Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 30/09, 14:30

Prediction: Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

Team pages: Shimshon Tel Aviv · Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Shimshon Tel Aviv1.42

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon1.27

1X2

40% 28% 32%

Shimshon Tel Aviv Draw Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Shimshon Tel Aviv 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWLDWWDWW

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLDLDLDDWW

Head-to-head

Shimshon Tel Aviv 1–1 Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon (2 last)

Shimshon Tel Aviv4-2Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon2-0Shimshon Tel Aviv

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shimshon Tel Aviv 1524 · Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon 1505

	Shimshon Tel Aviv	Draw	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
Our model	40%	28%	32%
Market	40%	28%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shimshon Tel Aviv	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.2	2.2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.4	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.25

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:10 +5’	2.25	3.25	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shimshon Tel Aviv 1–0–1 Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/02/26 Israel Liga Alef South	Shimshon Tel Aviv	4-2 HT 1-0	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
31/10/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	2-0 HT 0-0	Shimshon Tel Aviv

Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	4	3	1	0	11	3	10
2	Shimshon Tel Aviv	4	3	1	0	9	4	10
3	Hapoel Herzliya	4	3	1	0	6	2	10
4	Sport Club Dimona	4	3	0	1	5	5	9
5	MS Jerusalem	4	2	2	0	7	4	8
6	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	4	2	2	0	3	1	8
7	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	4	2	1	1	3	3	7
8	Maccabi Ironi Sderot	4	2	0	2	6	4	6
9	Hapoel Azor	4	2	0	2	4	6	6
10	Maccabi Yavne	4	1	2	1	4	2	5
11	Hapoel Hadera	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
12	Ironi Beit Shemesh	4	1	1	2	4	8	4
13	Kfar Saba 1928	4	1	0	3	5	5	3
14	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	4	0	3	1	5	6	3
15	Hapoel Marmorek	4	1	0	3	2	4	3
16	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	4	0	2	2	2	5	2
17	AS Nordia Jerusalem	4	0	0	4	2	9	0
18	Tzeirey Tira	4	0	0	4	1	8	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shimshon Tel Aviv	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
Hapoel Marmorek	2-1 W	1-0 W
Hapoel Holon Yaniv	3-1 W	0-0 D
Maccabi Kiryat Gat	1-3 L	1-1 D
Sport Club Dimona	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shimshon Tel Aviv

LLWLDWWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/09	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	2-1	2	8	W
17/09	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	3-1	3	4	W
09/09	Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South	2-1	2-2	4	10	D
03/09	Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	2-0	8	3	W
26/02	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	4-2	2	2	W
19/02	Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
12/02	Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	0-2	1-2	3	9	L
05/02	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
31/01	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-3	4	5	L
23/01	Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-1	8	7	L

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

DLDLDLDDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/09	Maccabi Ironi Sderot Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
18/09	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
09/09	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-1	8	1	D
04/09	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
26/02	Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	2-4	4	2	L
20/02	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
13/02	Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-2	8	6	L
06/02	AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	2-2	3	6	D
30/01	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South	2-3	2-3	9	4	L
23/01	Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-1	4	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shimshon Tel Aviv win (40%). Probabilities: Shimshon Tel Aviv 40%, draw 28%, Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon 32%.

How many goals are expected in Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Shimshon Tel Aviv 1.42 · Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon 1.27), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.