Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 30/09, 15:00

Prediction: Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi vs Hapoel Herzliya

Team pages: Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi · Hapoel Herzliya

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi1.32

Hapoel Herzliya1.04

1X2

42% 29% 29%

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Draw Hapoel Herzliya

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDWDDWWW

Hapoel Herzliya 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLLDDLWWDW

Head-to-head

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi 0–3–2 Hapoel Herzliya (5 last)

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi1-1Hapoel Herzliya
Hapoel Herzliya1-1Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi0-1Hapoel Herzliya
Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi0-4Hapoel Herzliya
Hapoel Herzliya0-0Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi 1589 · Hapoel Herzliya 1501

	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	Draw	Hapoel Herzliya
Our model	42%	30%	28%
Market	43%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi (rating 1589 vs 1501).
H2H favours Hapoel Herzliya: 2-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	Hapoel Herzliya
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.6	0.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.5	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.20

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:44 +30’	2.10	3.20	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi 0–3–2 Hapoel Herzliya

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/11/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1-1 HT 1-1	Hapoel Herzliya
28/02/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Herzliya	1-1 HT 1-0	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
05/11/24 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	0-1 HT 0-0	Hapoel Herzliya
15/03/24 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	0-4 HT 0-3	Hapoel Herzliya
23/12/23 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Herzliya	0-0 HT 0-0	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi

Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	4	3	1	0	11	3	10
2	Shimshon Tel Aviv	4	3	1	0	9	4	10
3	Hapoel Herzliya	4	3	1	0	6	2	10
4	Sport Club Dimona	4	3	0	1	5	5	9
5	MS Jerusalem	4	2	2	0	7	4	8
6	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	4	2	2	0	3	1	8
7	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	4	2	1	1	3	3	7
8	Maccabi Ironi Sderot	4	2	0	2	6	4	6
9	Hapoel Azor	4	2	0	2	4	6	6
10	Maccabi Yavne	4	1	2	1	4	2	5
11	Hapoel Hadera	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
12	Ironi Beit Shemesh	4	1	1	2	4	8	4
13	Kfar Saba 1928	4	1	0	3	5	5	3
14	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	4	0	3	1	5	6	3
15	Hapoel Marmorek	4	1	0	3	2	4	3
16	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	4	0	2	2	2	5	2
17	AS Nordia Jerusalem	4	0	0	4	2	9	0
18	Tzeirey Tira	4	0	0	4	1	8	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	Hapoel Herzliya
Hapoel Azor	3-0 W	0-0 D
FC Beitar Yavne	1-0 W	0-1 L
Hapoel Marmorek	1-1 D	1-1 D
MS Jerusalem	2-1 W	1-5 L
Tzeirey Tira	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi

WWWDWDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/09	Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	5-1	4	7	W
18/09	Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	3-0	8	2	W
09/09	Maccabi Ironi Sderot Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
03/09	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-1	7	2	D
27/02	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
20/02	FC Beitar Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
13/02	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
06/02	Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
30/01	MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
23/01	Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	2-1	4	6	W

Hapoel Herzliya

DLLDDLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/09	Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
18/09	Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
09/09	AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	3-1	7	5	W
03/09	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South	2-1	2-1	4	6	W
27/02	FC Beitar Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-1	0	8	L
20/02	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
12/02	Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
06/02	MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	1-2	1-5	3	5	L
31/01	Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
23/01	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-1	3	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi vs Hapoel Herzliya?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi win (42%). Probabilities: Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi 42%, draw 29%, Hapoel Herzliya 29%.

How many goals are expected in Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi vs Hapoel Herzliya?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi 1.32 · Hapoel Herzliya 1.04), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi vs Hapoel Herzliya?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.