Football · Nigeria Premier League · 18/10, 17:00

Prediction: Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City FC

Team pages: Niger Tornadoes · Ikorodu City FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.96Total
Niger Tornadoes1.41
Ikorodu City FC0.55
1X2
58% 28% 14%
Niger Tornadoes Draw Ikorodu City FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Niger Tornadoes 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DDWWLLDLWD
Ikorodu City FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLWDDLWDLW
Head-to-head
Niger Tornadoes 1–1–2 Ikorodu City FC (4 last)
  • Ikorodu City FC2-0Niger Tornadoes
  • Niger Tornadoes4-2Ikorodu City FC
  • Ikorodu City FC3-0Niger Tornadoes
  • Niger Tornadoes0-0Ikorodu City FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Niger Tornadoes 1489 · Ikorodu City FC 1497
Niger TornadoesDrawIkorodu City FC
Our model57%30%13%
Market58%27%14%
Estimated total (ours) 1.96 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Ikorodu City FC: 2-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Niger TornadoesIkorodu City FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 0.81.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.30.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/50/17%43/29/29%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.82 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.34 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Niger Tornadoes 1–1–2 Ikorodu City FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/02/26
Nigeria Premier League
Ikorodu City FC2-0
HT 1-0
Niger Tornadoes
21/09/25
Nigeria Premier League
Niger Tornadoes4-2
HT 3-0
Ikorodu City FC
13/04/25
Nigeria Premier League
Ikorodu City FC3-0
HT 0-0
Niger Tornadoes
23/11/24
Nigeria Premier League
Niger Tornadoes0-0
HT 0-0
Ikorodu City FC

Standings · Nigeria Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Enugu Rangers 8521 14917
2 Rivers United 8440 13216
3 Plateau United 8422 13814
4 Barau FC 8341 12913
5 Sporting Lagos 9342 111013
6 Doma United 8413 101013
7 Ikorodu City FC 8332 10712
8 Bendel Insurance 8404 141312
9 Kano Pillars 9261 121212
10 Katsina Utd 8332 101112
11 Nasarawa United 8323 8811
12 Shooting Stars 9324 101211
13 Kwara United 8314 9910
14 Warri Wolves FC 8314 6710
15 Niger Tornadoes 8233 679
16 Abia Warriors 8233 8119
17 Ranchers Bees 9225 10138
18 Kun Khalifat FC 8224 7148
19 Enyimba 8215 11147
20 Inter Lagos 8125 5135

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNiger TornadoesIkorodu City FC
Ranchers Bees 0-0 D 3-1 W
Katsina Utd 0-1 L 1-4 L
Kwara United 2-2 D 2-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ikorodu City FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Niger Tornadoes

DDWWLLDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Ranchers Bees
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 0-0 45 D
04/10 Kun Khalifat FC
Nigeria Premier League
– 1-0 –– W
27/09 Nasarawa United
Nigeria Premier League
0-1 0-1 52 L
23/09 Warri Wolves FC
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 0-0 103 D
19/09 Katsina Utd
Nigeria Premier League
– 0-1 –– L
06/09 Kano Pillars
Nigeria Premier League
– 2-3 –– L
30/08 Enyimba
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 2-1 54 W
24/05 Shooting Stars
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 1-0 72 W
10/05 El Kanemi Warriors
Nigeria Premier League
– 0-0 –– D
03/05 Kwara United
Nigeria Premier League
1-1 2-2 47 D

Ikorodu City FC

LLWDDLWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Kwara United
Nigeria Premier League
2-0 2-0 63 W
04/10 Rivers United
Nigeria Premier League
0-2 0-2 14 L
30/09 Sporting Lagos
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 0-0 25 D
27/09 Enugu Rangers
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 2-0 36 W
23/09 Bendel Insurance
Nigeria Premier League
– 1-2 –– L
19/09 Barau FC
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 0-0 95 D
13/09 Abia Warriors
Nigeria Premier League
– 2-2 –– D
30/08 Ranchers Bees
Nigeria Premier League
2-1 3-1 55 W
24/05 Enugu Rangers
Nigeria Premier League
0-1 1-2 62 L
10/05 Katsina Utd
Nigeria Premier League
– 1-4 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Niger Tornadoes win (58%). Probabilities: Niger Tornadoes 58%, draw 28%, Ikorodu City FC 14%.

How many goals are expected in Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City FC?

The model expects 1.96 goals (Niger Tornadoes 1.41 · Ikorodu City FC 0.55), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.