Football · Nigeria Premier League · 15/11, 16:00

Prediction: Enyimba vs Ikorodu City FC

Team pages: Enyimba · Ikorodu City FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

Enyimba1.63

Ikorodu City FC0.75

1X2

58% 26% 17%

Enyimba Draw Ikorodu City FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Enyimba 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDWWLDLWL

Ikorodu City FC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDLWLDDD

Head-to-head

Enyimba 1–2–1 Ikorodu City FC (4 last)

Enyimba0-1Ikorodu City FC
Ikorodu City FC1-1Enyimba
Ikorodu City FC2-2Enyimba
Enyimba2-1Ikorodu City FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Enyimba 1466 · Ikorodu City FC 1502

	Enyimba	Draw	Ikorodu City FC
Our model	57%	27%	16%
Market	58%	25%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Enyimba	Ikorodu City FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/13/50%	25/38/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 5.1	1.6 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.60

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:22 +19’	1.53	3.60	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Enyimba 1–2–1 Ikorodu City FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Nigeria Premier League	Enyimba	0-1 HT 0-1	Ikorodu City FC
28/09/25 Nigeria Premier League	Ikorodu City FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Enyimba
16/03/25 Nigeria Premier League	Ikorodu City FC	2-2 HT 1-0	Enyimba
27/10/24 Nigeria Premier League	Enyimba	2-1 HT 1-0	Ikorodu City FC

Standings · Nigeria Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	11	7	3	1	17	10	24
2	Kano Pillars	14	5	8	1	17	13	23
3	Bendel Insurance	13	7	0	6	21	19	21
4	Barau FC	13	4	8	1	14	10	20
5	Nasarawa United	12	6	2	4	14	11	20
6	Rivers United	11	4	6	1	15	5	18
7	Shooting Stars	13	5	3	5	18	17	18
8	Doma United	12	4	5	3	15	15	17
9	Katsina Utd	12	4	5	3	15	16	17
10	Plateau United	12	4	4	4	19	17	16
11	Sporting Lagos	11	4	4	3	15	14	16
12	Niger Tornadoes	12	4	4	4	10	10	16
13	Ikorodu City FC	12	3	6	3	17	15	15
14	Warri Wolves FC	12	3	5	4	8	9	14
15	Kun Khalifat FC	12	3	4	5	10	17	13
16	Kwara United	12	3	3	6	12	14	12
17	Ranchers Bees	12	3	3	6	12	15	12
18	Enyimba	12	3	2	7	12	16	11
19	Abia Warriors	12	2	5	5	12	19	11
20	Inter Lagos	12	1	4	7	8	19	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Enyimba	Ikorodu City FC
Shooting Stars	4-2 W	2-2 D
Sporting Lagos	2-3 L	0-0 D
Inter Lagos	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ikorodu City FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Enyimba

LLDWWLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Ranchers Bees Nigeria Premier League	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
01/11	Kun Khalifat FC Nigeria Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W
25/10	Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
18/10	Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
09/10	Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League	0-2	2-4	–	–	L
04/10	Plateau United Nigeria Premier League	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
30/09	Shooting Stars Nigeria Premier League	3-0	4-2	1	4	W
27/09	Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League	–	0-0	–	–	D
23/09	Sporting Lagos Nigeria Premier League	1-0	2-3	4	3	L
20/09	Inter Lagos Nigeria Premier League	0-1	0-1	12	4	L

Ikorodu City FC

DLWDLWLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/11	Inter Lagos Nigeria Premier League	–	2-2	–	–	D
31/10	Doma United Nigeria Premier League	1-1	2-2	2	5	D
25/10	Shooting Stars Nigeria Premier League	1-2	2-2	3	4	D
18/10	Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
10/10	Kwara United Nigeria Premier League	2-0	2-0	6	3	W
04/10	Rivers United Nigeria Premier League	0-2	0-2	1	4	L
30/09	Sporting Lagos Nigeria Premier League	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
27/09	Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
23/09	Bendel Insurance Nigeria Premier League	–	1-2	–	–	L
19/09	Barau FC Nigeria Premier League	0-0	0-0	9	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Enyimba vs Ikorodu City FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Enyimba win (58%). Probabilities: Enyimba 58%, draw 26%, Ikorodu City FC 17%.

How many goals are expected in Enyimba vs Ikorodu City FC?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Enyimba 1.63 · Ikorodu City FC 0.75), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Enyimba vs Ikorodu City FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.