Football · Nigeria Premier League · 15/11, 16:00
Prediction: Niger Tornadoes vs Enugu Rangers
Team pages: Niger Tornadoes · Enugu Rangers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.72Total
Niger Tornadoes1.2
Enugu Rangers0.52
1X2
Niger Tornadoes
Draw
Enugu Rangers
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0 20%
Recent form · 10 last
Niger Tornadoes
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Enugu Rangers
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Niger Tornadoes
1–1–4
Enugu Rangers
(6 last)
- Niger Tornadoes0-0Enugu Rangers
- Enugu Rangers1-0Niger Tornadoes
- Enugu Rangers1-2Niger Tornadoes
- Niger Tornadoes0-1Enugu Rangers
- Niger Tornadoes0-2Enugu Rangers
- Enugu Rangers2-1Niger Tornadoes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niger Tornadoes 1495 · Enugu Rangers 1570
| Niger Tornadoes | Draw | Enugu Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 33% | 15% |
| Market | 54% | 29% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.72 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Enugu Rangers (rating 1495 vs 1570).
- H2H favours Enugu Rangers: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Niger Tornadoes | Enugu Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/57/29% | 29/43/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.1 | 1.8 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Niger Tornadoes 1–1–4 Enugu Rangers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Nigeria Premier League | Niger Tornadoes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Enugu Rangers |
| 23/11/25 Nigeria Premier League | Enugu Rangers | 1-0 | Niger Tornadoes |
| 25/01/25 Nigeria Premier League | Enugu Rangers | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Niger Tornadoes |
| 29/12/24 Nigeria Premier League | Niger Tornadoes | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Enugu Rangers |
| 03/03/24 Nigeria Premier League | Niger Tornadoes | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Enugu Rangers |
| 15/10/23 Nigeria Premier League | Enugu Rangers | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Niger Tornadoes |
Standings · Nigeria Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enugu Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Kano Pillars | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 13 | 23 |
| 3 | Bendel Insurance | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 21 |
| 4 | Barau FC | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | Nasarawa United | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Rivers United | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Shooting Stars | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
| 8 | Doma United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 17 |
| 9 | Katsina Utd | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
| 10 | Plateau United | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 16 |
| 11 | Sporting Lagos | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 16 |
| 12 | Niger Tornadoes | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 16 |
| 13 | Ikorodu City FC | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves FC | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 14 |
| 15 | Kun Khalifat FC | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 13 |
| 16 | Kwara United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 12 |
| 17 | Ranchers Bees | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 12 |
| 18 | Enyimba | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 11 |
| 19 | Abia Warriors | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Niger Tornadoes | Enugu Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Bendel Insurance | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Barau FC | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Abia Warriors | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Ikorodu City FC | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Ranchers Bees | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Kun Khalifat FC | 1-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Nasarawa United | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Warri Wolves FC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 6 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Enugu Rangers (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niger Tornadoes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Bendel Insurance Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/10 | Barau FC Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 25/10 | Abia Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | Ikorodu City FC Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Ranchers Bees Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 04/10 | Kun Khalifat FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/09 | Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Plateau United Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
Enugu Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Kwara United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/11 | Bendel Insurance Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 01/11 | Rivers United Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 11/10 | Barau FC Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 04/10 | Abia Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/09 | Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Ikorodu City FC Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/09 | Ranchers Bees Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Kun Khalifat FC Nigeria Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/09 | Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niger Tornadoes vs Enugu Rangers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Niger Tornadoes win (53%). Probabilities: Niger Tornadoes 53%, draw 31%, Enugu Rangers 16%.
How many goals are expected in Niger Tornadoes vs Enugu Rangers?
The model expects 1.72 goals (Niger Tornadoes 1.2 · Enugu Rangers 0.52), with a 58% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Niger Tornadoes vs Enugu Rangers?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.