Football · Nigeria Premier League · 15/11, 16:00

Prediction: Inter Lagos vs Abia Warriors

Team pages: Inter Lagos · Abia Warriors

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Inter Lagos1.5
Abia Warriors0.84
1X2
52% 29% 20%
Inter Lagos Draw Abia Warriors
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Inter Lagos 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LWDLDLLLDD
Abia Warriors 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DWLWLDDLLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inter Lagos 1445 · Abia Warriors 1476
Inter LagosDrawAbia Warriors
Our model52%29%20%
Market52%29%20%
Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Inter LagosAbia Warriors
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.61.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)29/43/29%14/57/29%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 3.72.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 03.6 / 0

Standings · Nigeria Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Enugu Rangers 11731 171024
2 Kano Pillars 14581 171323
3 Bendel Insurance 13706 211921
4 Barau FC 13481 141020
5 Nasarawa United 12624 141120
6 Rivers United 11461 15518
7 Shooting Stars 13535 181718
8 Doma United 12453 151517
9 Katsina Utd 12453 151617
10 Plateau United 12444 191716
11 Sporting Lagos 11443 151416
12 Niger Tornadoes 12444 101016
13 Ikorodu City FC 12363 171515
14 Warri Wolves FC 12354 8914
15 Kun Khalifat FC 12345 101713
16 Kwara United 12336 121412
17 Ranchers Bees 12336 121512
18 Enyimba 12327 121611
19 Abia Warriors 12255 121911
20 Inter Lagos 12147 8194

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentInter LagosAbia Warriors
Ikorodu City FC 2-2 D 2-2 D
Sporting Lagos 0-3 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Abia Warriors (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inter Lagos

LWDLDLLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/11 Ikorodu City FC
Nigeria Premier League
– 2-2 –– D
01/11 Ranchers Bees
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 1-1 54 D
25/10 Kun Khalifat FC
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 0-1 –– L
18/10 Nasarawa United
Nigeria Premier League
0-2 0-2 32 L
11/10 Warri Wolves FC
Nigeria Premier League
– 1-3 –– L
04/10 Katsina Utd
Nigeria Premier League
1-1 1-1 72 D
27/09 Plateau United
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 0-2 33 L
23/09 Kano Pillars
Nigeria Premier League
– 1-1 –– D
20/09 Enyimba
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 1-0 14 W
13/09 Sporting Lagos
Nigeria Premier League
0-1 0-3 35 L

Abia Warriors

DWLWLDDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Doma United
Nigeria Premier League
1-1 2-2 83 D
01/11 Shooting Stars
Nigeria Premier League
0-3 1-4 23 L
25/10 Niger Tornadoes
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 0-1 56 L
17/10 Kwara United
Nigeria Premier League
– 1-1 –– D
11/10 Rivers United
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 0-0 33 D
04/10 Enugu Rangers
Nigeria Premier League
– 1-3 –– L
27/09 Bendel Insurance
Nigeria Premier League
3-0 3-0 42 W
23/09 Barau FC
Nigeria Premier League
0-1 0-2 34 L
20/09 Sporting Lagos
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 2-0 24 W
13/09 Ikorodu City FC
Nigeria Premier League
– 2-2 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter Lagos vs Abia Warriors?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Lagos win (52%). Probabilities: Inter Lagos 52%, draw 29%, Abia Warriors 20%.

How many goals are expected in Inter Lagos vs Abia Warriors?

The model expects 2.34 goals (Inter Lagos 1.5 · Abia Warriors 0.84), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter Lagos vs Abia Warriors?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.