Football · Nigeria Premier League · 09/11, 16:00

Prediction: Ikorodu City FC vs Inter Lagos

Team pages: Ikorodu City FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Ikorodu City FC1.86
Inter Lagos0.63
1X2
66% 22% 11%
Ikorodu City FC Draw Inter Lagos
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Ikorodu City FC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DDLWDLWLDD
Inter Lagos 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LLWDLDLLLD
Head-to-head
Ikorodu City FC 0–3–0 Inter Lagos (3 last)
  • Ikorodu City FC1-1Inter Lagos
  • Ikorodu City FC1-1Inter Lagos
  • Inter Lagos1-1Ikorodu City FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ikorodu City FC 1494 · Inter Lagos 1433
Ikorodu City FCDrawInter Lagos
Our model66%23%11%
Market67%21%12%
Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ikorodu City FC (rating 1494 vs 1433).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ikorodu City FCInter Lagos
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.20.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.80.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/38/38%25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.12.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.14 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ikorodu City FC 0–3–0 Inter Lagos

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/06/24
Nigeria National League
Ikorodu City FC1-1
HT 1-1
Inter Lagos
29/05/24
Nigeria Cup
Ikorodu City FC1-1
HT 1-0
Inter Lagos
09/12/23
Nigeria National League
Inter Lagos1-1
HT 1-0
Ikorodu City FC

Standings · Nigeria Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Enugu Rangers 10631 161021
2 Kano Pillars 13481 161320
3 Rivers United 11461 15518
4 Bendel Insurance 11605 181618
5 Nasarawa United 11524 111017
6 Plateau United 11443 181416
7 Barau FC 11371 131016
8 Sporting Lagos 11443 151416
9 Niger Tornadoes 11443 9816
10 Katsina Utd 11443 141516
11 Shooting Stars 11434 161515
12 Doma United 10433 131315
13 Ikorodu City FC 11353 151314
14 Warri Wolves FC 11344 7813
15 Kun Khalifat FC 12345 101713
16 Kwara United 11335 121312
17 Enyimba 11326 121511
18 Abia Warriors 11245 101710
19 Ranchers Bees 10235 11149
20 Inter Lagos 11137 6173

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentIkorodu City FCInter Lagos
Doma United 2-2 D 0-1 L
Sporting Lagos 0-0 D 0-3 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ikorodu City FC (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ikorodu City FC

DDLWDLWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Doma United
Nigeria Premier League
1-1 2-2 25 D
25/10 Shooting Stars
Nigeria Premier League
1-2 2-2 34 D
18/10 Niger Tornadoes
Nigeria Premier League
0-1 1-2 73 L
10/10 Kwara United
Nigeria Premier League
2-0 2-0 63 W
04/10 Rivers United
Nigeria Premier League
0-2 0-2 14 L
30/09 Sporting Lagos
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 0-0 25 D
27/09 Enugu Rangers
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 2-0 36 W
23/09 Bendel Insurance
Nigeria Premier League
– 1-2 –– L
19/09 Barau FC
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 0-0 95 D
13/09 Abia Warriors
Nigeria Premier League
– 2-2 –– D

Inter Lagos

LLWDLDLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Ranchers Bees
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 1-1 54 D
25/10 Kun Khalifat FC
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 0-1 –– L
18/10 Nasarawa United
Nigeria Premier League
0-2 0-2 32 L
11/10 Warri Wolves FC
Nigeria Premier League
– 1-3 –– L
04/10 Katsina Utd
Nigeria Premier League
1-1 1-1 72 D
27/09 Plateau United
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 0-2 33 L
23/09 Kano Pillars
Nigeria Premier League
– 1-1 –– D
20/09 Enyimba
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 1-0 14 W
13/09 Sporting Lagos
Nigeria Premier League
0-1 0-3 35 L
05/09 Doma United
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 0-1 68 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ikorodu City FC vs Inter Lagos?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ikorodu City FC win (66%). Probabilities: Ikorodu City FC 66%, draw 22%, Inter Lagos 11%.

How many goals are expected in Ikorodu City FC vs Inter Lagos?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Ikorodu City FC 1.86 · Inter Lagos 0.63), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ikorodu City FC vs Inter Lagos?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.