Football · Nigeria Premier League · 23/09, 17:00

Prediction: Barau FC vs Abia Warriors

Team pages: Barau FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
Barau FC1.5
Abia Warriors0.67
1X2
56% 28% 16%
Barau FC Draw Abia Warriors
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Barau FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWLWLWWDWD
Abia Warriors 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLWLLLDLDW
Head-to-head
Barau FC 1–1 Abia Warriors (2 last)
  • Barau FC2-0Abia Warriors
  • Abia Warriors2-0Barau FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barau FC 1540 · Abia Warriors 1477
Barau FCDrawAbia Warriors
Our model56%28%16%
Market56%28%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barau FC (rating 1540 vs 1477).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Barau FCAbia Warriors
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.60.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 00 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)4.3 / 6.32 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 02.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Barau FC 101 Abia Warriors

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/03/26
Nigeria Premier League
Barau FC2-0Abia Warriors
26/10/25
Nigeria Premier League
Abia Warriors2-0
HT 1-0
Barau FC

Standings · Nigeria Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Doma United 4301 649
2 Barau FC 4220 628
3 Kano Pillars 3210 957
4 Rivers United 3210 517
5 Enugu Rangers 3210 747
6 Plateau United 4211 547
7 Ranchers Bees 4202 876
8 Bendel Insurance 4202 766
9 Ikorodu City FC 3120 535
10 Abia Warriors 4121 465
11 Kwara United 4112 544
12 Niger Tornadoes 4112 564
13 Nasarawa United 4112 464
14 Katsina Utd 3111 244
15 Shooting Stars 2101 343
15 Sporting Lagos 3102 343
17 Warri Wolves FC 3102 243
18 Inter Lagos 4103 263
19 Kun Khalifat FC 4022 482
20 Enyimba 3003 150

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBarau FCAbia Warriors
Ikorodu City FC 0-0 D 2-2 D
Ranchers Bees 3-1 W 0-4 L
Kun Khalifat FC 0-0 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 0 L 0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Barau FC (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Barau FC

DWLWLWWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Ikorodu City FC
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 0-0 45 D
13/09 Ranchers Bees
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 3-1 101 W
06/09 Kun Khalifat FC
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 D
30/08 Nasarawa United
Nigeria Premier League
3-1 W
24/05 Nasarawa United
Nigeria Premier League
3-0 W
10/05 Shooting Stars
Nigeria Premier League
0-1 L
03/05 El Kanemi Warriors
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 3-0 W
19/04 Kwara United
Nigeria Premier League
1-2 L
12/04 Remo Stars
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 2-1 54 W
05/04 Enugu Rangers
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 D

Abia Warriors

WLWLLLDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Sporting Lagos
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 2-0 24 W
13/09 Ikorodu City FC
Nigeria Premier League
2-2 D
07/09 Ranchers Bees
Nigeria Premier League
0-4 L
30/08 Kun Khalifat FC
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 D
24/05 Warri Wolves FC
Nigeria Premier League
1-2 L
10/05 Kun Khalifat FC
Nigeria Premier League
0-2 L
03/05 Rivers United
Nigeria Premier League
0-3 L
19/04 Ikorodu City FC
Nigeria Premier League
2-1 W
11/04 Bendel Insurance
Nigeria Premier League
0-1 L
06/04 Bayelsa United
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 1-0 41 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barau FC vs Abia Warriors?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Barau FC win (56%). Probabilities: Barau FC 56%, draw 28%, Abia Warriors 16%.

How many goals are expected in Barau FC vs Abia Warriors?

The model expects 2.18 goals (Barau FC 1.5 · Abia Warriors 0.67), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Barau FC vs Abia Warriors?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.