Football · Nigeria Premier League · 23/09, 17:00

Prediction: Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves FC

Team pages: Niger Tornadoes · Warri Wolves FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.92Total
Niger Tornadoes1.47
Warri Wolves FC0.45
1X2
63% 26% 11%
Niger Tornadoes Draw Warri Wolves FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
1-0 21%
Recent form · 10 last
Niger Tornadoes 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLDLDDWWLL
Warri Wolves FC 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLWLWLLW
Head-to-head
Niger Tornadoes 1–2–1 Warri Wolves FC (4 last)
  • Niger Tornadoes0-0Warri Wolves FC
  • Warri Wolves FC1-1Niger Tornadoes
  • Niger Tornadoes2-0Warri Wolves FC
  • Warri Wolves FC1-0Niger Tornadoes
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Niger Tornadoes 1488 · Warri Wolves FC 1481
Niger TornadoesDrawWarri Wolves FC
Our model62%28%10%
Market64%24%12%
Estimated total (ours) 1.92 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.11 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.5 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/50/17%25/0/75%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 50 / 0.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 03.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Niger Tornadoes 121 Warri Wolves FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/03/26
Nigeria Premier League
Niger Tornadoes0-0
HT 0-0
Warri Wolves FC
12/10/25
Nigeria Premier League
Warri Wolves FC1-1Niger Tornadoes
03/07/16
Nigeria Premier League
Niger Tornadoes2-0Warri Wolves FC
06/03/16
Nigeria Premier League
Warri Wolves FC1-0Niger Tornadoes

Standings · Nigeria Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Doma United 4301 649
2 Barau FC 4220 628
3 Kano Pillars 3210 957
4 Rivers United 3210 517
5 Enugu Rangers 3210 747
6 Plateau United 4211 547
7 Ranchers Bees 4202 876
8 Bendel Insurance 4202 766
9 Ikorodu City FC 3120 535
10 Abia Warriors 4121 465
11 Kwara United 4112 544
12 Niger Tornadoes 4112 564
13 Nasarawa United 4112 464
14 Katsina Utd 3111 244
15 Shooting Stars 2101 343
15 Sporting Lagos 3102 343
17 Warri Wolves FC 3102 243
18 Inter Lagos 4103 263
19 Kun Khalifat FC 4022 482
20 Enyimba 3003 150

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNiger TornadoesWarri Wolves FC
Kano Pillars 2-3 L 0-1 L
Kwara United 2-2 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Warri Wolves FC (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Niger Tornadoes

WLDLDDWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Katsina Utd
Nigeria Premier League
0-1 L
06/09 Kano Pillars
Nigeria Premier League
2-3 L
30/08 Enyimba
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 2-1 54 W
24/05 Shooting Stars
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 1-0 72 W
10/05 El Kanemi Warriors
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 D
03/05 Kwara United
Nigeria Premier League
1-1 2-2 47 D
19/04 Remo Stars
Nigeria Premier League
0-2 0-3 31 L
12/04 Enugu Rangers
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 0-0 64 D
05/04 Katsina Utd
Nigeria Premier League
0-1 L
29/03 Wikki Tourists
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 2-0 57 W

Warri Wolves FC

LWLLWLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Kwara United
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 W
16/09 Rivers United
Nigeria Premier League
0-1 0-2 12 L
30/08 Bendel Insurance
Nigeria Premier League
1-2 L
24/05 Abia Warriors
Nigeria Premier League
2-1 W
10/05 Kano Pillars
Nigeria Premier League
0-1 L
03/05 Plateau United
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 W
19/04 Nasarawa United
Nigeria Premier League
0-1 0-3 L
12/04 Kun Khalifat FC
Nigeria Premier League
0-3 L
05/04 Rivers United
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 2-0 W
29/03 Ikorodu City FC
Nigeria Premier League
1-3 3-4 05 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Niger Tornadoes win (63%). Probabilities: Niger Tornadoes 63%, draw 26%, Warri Wolves FC 11%.

How many goals are expected in Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves FC?

The model expects 1.92 goals (Niger Tornadoes 1.47 · Warri Wolves FC 0.45), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.