Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 27/09, 21:00

Prediction: KACM Marrakesh vs HUSA Agadir

Team pages: KACM Marrakesh · HUSA Agadir

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.9Total

KACM Marrakesh1.01

HUSA Agadir0.89

1X2

37% 33% 30%

KACM Marrakesh Draw HUSA Agadir

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

KACM Marrakesh 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLLLWDDD

HUSA Agadir 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWLWDDLD

Head-to-head

KACM Marrakesh 2–2–2 HUSA Agadir (6 last)

HUSA Agadir1-1KACM Marrakesh
KACM Marrakesh2-1HUSA Agadir
HUSA Agadir0-2KACM Marrakesh
KACM Marrakesh1-2HUSA Agadir
KACM Marrakesh0-0HUSA Agadir
HUSA Agadir5-1KACM Marrakesh

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KACM Marrakesh 1507 · HUSA Agadir 1489

	KACM Marrakesh	Draw	HUSA Agadir
Our model	36%	34%	30%
Market	37%	32%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 1.9 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KACM Marrakesh	HUSA Agadir
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3	2.2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.40

X2.80

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.08

2 (+0.25)1.73

Line ⓘ

Over 22.05

Under 21.75

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Pinn 2.48
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 3.27 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:45 +44’	2.40	2.80	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:24 +244’	2.48	2.61	3.27

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KACM Marrakesh 2–2–2 HUSA Agadir

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 Morocco GNF 1	HUSA Agadir	1-1 HT 1-1	KACM Marrakesh
07/03/26 Morocco GNF 1	KACM Marrakesh	2-1 HT 1-0	HUSA Agadir
29/08/25 World Club Friendlies	HUSA Agadir	0-2 HT 0-2	KACM Marrakesh
28/03/24 Morocco Cup	KACM Marrakesh	1-2 HT 0-1	HUSA Agadir
03/03/21 Morocco Cup	KACM Marrakesh	0-0 HT 0-0	HUSA Agadir
27/03/19 Morocco GNF 1	HUSA Agadir	5-1 HT 3-0	KACM Marrakesh

Standings · Morocco GNF 1

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ittihad Tanger	1	1	0	3	1	3
2	FAR Rabat	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	CODM Meknes	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Difaa El Jadida	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	FUS Rabat	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	HUSA Agadir	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	KACM Marrakesh	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	MAS Fes	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	MAT Tetouan	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Raja Casablanca	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Renaissance Zemamra	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	RSB Berkane	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Union de Touarga	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	WAC Casablanca	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Widad Temara	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	US Amal Tiznit	1	0	1	1	3	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KACM Marrakesh	HUSA Agadir
FUS Rabat	2-0 W	0-0 D
Raja Casablanca	2-0 W	0-2 L
Union de Touarga	0-0 D	1-0 W
CODM Meknes	3-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: KACM Marrakesh (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KACM Marrakesh

WDWLLLWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/07	HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
02/07	MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
28/06	Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
25/06	FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
21/06	FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
17/06	Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1	0-1	0-2	6	8	L
12/06	OC Safi Morocco GNF 1	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
09/06	Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	0-0	2-0	1	6	W
01/06	Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
22/05	CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1	2-0	3-1	2	4	W

HUSA Agadir

LDWWLWDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/07	KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
02/07	Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
28/06	Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
25/06	CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
21/06	Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
18/06	US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-2	2	6	L
14/06	RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
08/06	Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
04/06	FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	11	4	D
23/05	WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	1-1	2-3	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KACM Marrakesh vs HUSA Agadir?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KACM Marrakesh win (37%). Probabilities: KACM Marrakesh 37%, draw 33%, HUSA Agadir 30%.

How many goals are expected in KACM Marrakesh vs HUSA Agadir?

The model expects 1.9 goals (KACM Marrakesh 1.01 · HUSA Agadir 0.89), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in KACM Marrakesh vs HUSA Agadir?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.