Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 03/10, 22:00
Prediction: Raja Casablanca vs Renaissance Zemamra
Team pages: Raja Casablanca · Renaissance Zemamra
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Raja Casablanca1.82
Renaissance Zemamra0.75
1X2
Raja Casablanca
Draw
Renaissance Zemamra
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Raja Casablanca
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Renaissance Zemamra
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Raja Casablanca
6–0
Renaissance Zemamra
(6 last)
- Renaissance Zemamra3-4Raja Casablanca
- Raja Casablanca3-0Renaissance Zemamra
- Renaissance Zemamra1-2Raja Casablanca
- Renaissance Zemamra1-2Raja Casablanca
- Raja Casablanca2-0Renaissance Zemamra
- Renaissance Zemamra1-2Raja Casablanca
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Raja Casablanca 1542 · Renaissance Zemamra 1486
| Raja Casablanca | Draw | Renaissance Zemamra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 24% | 14% |
| Market | 61% | 26% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Raja Casablanca (rating 1542 vs 1486).
- H2H favours Raja Casablanca: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Raja Casablanca | Renaissance Zemamra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.8 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.8 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Raja Casablanca 6–0–0 Renaissance Zemamra
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/26 Morocco GNF 1 | Renaissance Zemamra | 3-4 HT 2-2 | Raja Casablanca |
| 01/02/26 Morocco GNF 1 | Raja Casablanca | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Renaissance Zemamra |
| 02/06/25 Morocco Coupe d’Excellence | Renaissance Zemamra | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Raja Casablanca |
| 09/02/25 Morocco GNF 1 | Renaissance Zemamra | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Raja Casablanca |
| 06/10/24 Morocco GNF 1 | Raja Casablanca | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Renaissance Zemamra |
| 21/04/24 Morocco GNF 1 | Renaissance Zemamra | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Raja Casablanca |
Standings · Morocco GNF 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CODM Meknes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Ittihad Tanger | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Widad Temara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | HUSA Agadir | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | MAS Fes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Union de Touarga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | MAT Tetouan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | RSB Berkane | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | FAR Rabat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Raja Casablanca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | KACM Marrakesh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | FUS Rabat | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Renaissance Zemamra | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | US Amal Tiznit | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | WAC Casablanca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Difaa El Jadida | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Raja Casablanca | Renaissance Zemamra |
|---|---|---|
| OC Safi | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| HUSA Agadir | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Ittihad Tanger | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| US Yacoub El Mansour | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| CODM Meknes | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Union de Touarga | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Raja Casablanca (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raja Casablanca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | OC Safi Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/07 | HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 25/06 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
2-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 09/06 | KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/06 | RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Renaissance Zemamra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/07 | FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/06 | OC Safi Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/06 | Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
2-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/06 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/06 | Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 03/06 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raja Casablanca vs Renaissance Zemamra?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Raja Casablanca win (61%). Probabilities: Raja Casablanca 61%, draw 25%, Renaissance Zemamra 13%.
How many goals are expected in Raja Casablanca vs Renaissance Zemamra?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Raja Casablanca 1.82 · Renaissance Zemamra 0.75), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Raja Casablanca vs Renaissance Zemamra?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.