Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 27/09, 20:00

Prediction: MAS Fes vs Renaissance Zemamra

Team pages: MAS Fes · Renaissance Zemamra

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.21Total

MAS Fes1.45

Renaissance Zemamra0.76

1X2

52% 29% 19%

MAS Fes Draw Renaissance Zemamra

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

MAS Fes 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDWLWWDW

Renaissance Zemamra 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLDDDD

Head-to-head

MAS Fes 2–2–2 Renaissance Zemamra (6 last)

Renaissance Zemamra1-2MAS Fes
MAS Fes2-0Renaissance Zemamra
Renaissance Zemamra1-1MAS Fes
MAS Fes0-1Renaissance Zemamra
MAS Fes2-3Renaissance Zemamra
Renaissance Zemamra1-1MAS Fes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MAS Fes 1565 · Renaissance Zemamra 1484

	MAS Fes	Draw	Renaissance Zemamra
Our model	52%	29%	19%
Market	52%	29%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MAS Fes (rating 1565 vs 1484).
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MAS Fes	Renaissance Zemamra
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.7	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 2.4	2.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.3	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.10

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Pinn 1.91 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:45 +42’	1.70	3.10	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:24 +20’	1.91	3.04	4.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MAS Fes 2–2–2 Renaissance Zemamra

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Morocco GNF 1	Renaissance Zemamra	1-2 HT 0-1	MAS Fes
14/09/25 Morocco GNF 1	MAS Fes	2-0 HT 1-0	Renaissance Zemamra
23/04/25 Morocco GNF 1	Renaissance Zemamra	1-1 HT 0-1	MAS Fes
01/12/24 Morocco GNF 1	MAS Fes	0-1 HT 0-2	Renaissance Zemamra
17/02/24 Morocco GNF 1	MAS Fes	2-3 HT 1-2	Renaissance Zemamra
25/09/23 Morocco GNF 1	Renaissance Zemamra	1-1 HT 1-0	MAS Fes

Standings · Morocco GNF 1

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ittihad Tanger	1	1	0	3	1	3
2	FAR Rabat	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	CODM Meknes	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Difaa El Jadida	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	FUS Rabat	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	HUSA Agadir	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	KACM Marrakesh	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	MAS Fes	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	MAT Tetouan	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Raja Casablanca	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Renaissance Zemamra	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	RSB Berkane	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Union de Touarga	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	WAC Casablanca	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Widad Temara	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	US Amal Tiznit	1	0	1	1	3	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MAS Fes	Renaissance Zemamra
US Yacoub El Mansour	2-1 W	2-1 W
RSB Berkane	1-2 L	0-1 L
FUS Rabat	1-1 D	1-1 D
FAR Rabat	0-0 D	0-0 D
OC Safi	2-1 W	1-1 D
Ittihad Tanger	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: MAS Fes (1 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MAS Fes

LWDDWLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/07	Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/07	KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
28/06	US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1	2-0	2-1	2	4	W
25/06	WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
21/06	RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1	1-2	1-2	6	7	L
17/06	Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1	0-1	2-1	3	5	W
12/06	FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1	0-1	1-1	6	11	D
09/06	FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
01/06	OC Safi Morocco GNF 1	1-0	2-1	1	11	W
22/05	Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-1	2	6	L

Renaissance Zemamra

LWLWLLDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/07	FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
02/07	FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
28/06	HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
25/06	OC Safi Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
21/06	Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
17/06	Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	2-2	3-4	6	5	L
12/06	CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
09/06	Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
03/06	US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
24/05	RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-1	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MAS Fes vs Renaissance Zemamra?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MAS Fes win (52%). Probabilities: MAS Fes 52%, draw 29%, Renaissance Zemamra 19%.

How many goals are expected in MAS Fes vs Renaissance Zemamra?

The model expects 2.21 goals (MAS Fes 1.45 · Renaissance Zemamra 0.76), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in MAS Fes vs Renaissance Zemamra?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.